Indonesia 57%Draw 23%Thailand 20%Expected goals 2.31 – 1.36
80%
ZoraTips pick
Indonesia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Indonesia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndonesia to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceIndonesia or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Indonesia vs Thailand prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Indonesia v Thailand in the – Monday 5 October, 14:00 WAT, Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium.
Form guide
Indonesia – form over the last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Bangladesh 9–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Thailand – form over the last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Philippines 1–2 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.3 per game.
On form, Indonesia have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Indonesia 2.3 – 1.4 Thailand in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 71% for over 2.5 goals, 60% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Indonesia 57% · draw 23% · Thailand 20%.
Safer play: Indonesia or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Indonesia to win at 1.91 – we make it 57%, the price implies 52%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Indonesia or draw, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Indonesia 2–1 Thailand. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Indonesia57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Thailand20%fair 4.98 · @3.40
3.67Expected goals
2.31Indonesia xG
1.36Thailand xG
60%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Indonesia 2.3 – 1.4 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indonesia to win✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Indonesia or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Indonesia (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Thailand +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Indonesia to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Indonesia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indonesia / FT Indonesia✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Indonesia – last 6
WDWDLW
1 Oct
vs Bangladesh
9–2
W
28 Sep
@ Malaysia
0–0
D
25 Sep
vs Singapore
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Singapore
1–1
D
3 Aug
vs Vietnam
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Thailand – last 6
LWWDLL
2 Oct
vs Philippines
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Vietnam
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Pakistan
4–0
W
26 Aug
@ Vietnam
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Vietnam
0–2
L
18 Aug
vs Singapore
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Thailand.
Our pick is Indonesia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Indonesia vs Thailand?
On our numbers Indonesia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thailand 20%.
How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Thailand?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Thailand?
Our predicted score is Indonesia 2–1 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Indonesia vs Thailand?
Indonesia vs Thailand () kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
