Wed 11 Nov

CD Marathon v Atlético Choloma: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
2–0
FT
CD Marathon 73%Draw 17%Atlético Choloma 10% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.68
73%
ZoraTips pick

CD Marathon to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Marathon to win ✓73% · @1.20
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

CD Marathon host Atlético Choloma in the Liga Nacional on Monday 9 November, kicking off at 02:30 WAT at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. CD Marathon sit 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Atlético Choloma are 9th on 14 (in the bottom half). A 14-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

CD Marathon – form over the last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Platense FC 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.

Atlético Choloma – form over the last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Atletico Independiente 0–0 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 16 Aug 2026, finished Atlético Choloma 0–1 CD Marathon. Across the last 3 meetings CD Marathon have won 1, Atlético Choloma 1, with 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals.

Goals outlook

Our model projects CD Marathon 2.2 – 0.7 Atlético Choloma in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 60% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: CD Marathon 73% · draw 17% · Atlético Choloma 10%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.79.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked CD Marathon to win, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: CD Marathon 2–0 Atlético Choloma. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

CD Marathon73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @5.40
Atlético Choloma10%fair 9.80 · @9.90
2.90Expected goals
2.22CD Marathon xG
0.68Atlético Choloma xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: CD Marathon 2.2 – 0.7 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✓73%1.371.20
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.79
Draw no betCD Marathon (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapCD Marathon -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.651.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.661.72
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
First team to scoreCD Marathon to score first ✓72%1.38–
Half-time resultCD Marathon ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

CD Marathon – last 6

WLDDWW
6 Novvs Platense FC3–1W
2 Nov@ CD Motagua0–2L
28 Oct@ Alianza0–0D
25 Oct@ Atletico Independiente2–2D
21 Octvs Alianza2–1W
16 Octvs Olancho2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Atlético Choloma – last 6

DLWWLW
6 Novvs Atletico Independiente0–0D
1 Novvs CD Olimpia0–3L
24 Octvs Génesis3–1W
18 Oct@ Juticalpa2–1W
11 Oct@ CD Motagua1–2L
19 Sepvs Estrella Roja2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Atlético Choloma v CD Marathon0–1
1 May 2026CD Marathon v Atlético Choloma0–1
11 Mar 2026Atlético Choloma v CD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

On our numbers CD Marathon have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Choloma 10%.

How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

Our predicted score is CD Marathon 2–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.