Value bet: CD Motagua to win @ 1.82 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✗60% · @1.82
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✗84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Lobos Upnfm v CD Motagua in the Liga Nacional – Sunday 8 November, 00:15 WAT, Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Lobos Upnfm sit 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while CD Motagua are 4th on 28 (in the top four).
Form guide
Lobos Upnfm – form over the last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Olancho 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
CD Motagua – form over the last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Estrella Roja 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, finished CD Motagua 4–1 Lobos Upnfm. Across the last 3 meetings Lobos Upnfm have won 1, CD Motagua 2, with 0 draws, averaging 3.3 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Lobos Upnfm 0.8 – 1.8 CD Motagua in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Lobos Upnfm 16% · draw 24% · CD Motagua 60%.
Safer play: CD Motagua or draw (84%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.64.
Value angle: CD Motagua to win at 1.82 – we make it 60%, the price implies 55%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Lobos Upnfm 0–2 CD Motagua. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Lobos Upnfm16%fair 6.22 · @3.54
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.44
CD Motagua60%fair 1.67 · @1.82
2.64Expected goals
0.83Lobos Upnfm xG
1.81CD Motagua xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 0.8 – 1.8 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CD Motagua 60%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
