Thu 12 Nov

CD Marathon v Platense FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
3–1
FT
CD Marathon 67%Draw 18%Platense FC 15% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.92
67%
ZoraTips pick

CD Marathon to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.27Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCD Marathon to win ✓67% · @1.27
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.01
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

CD Marathon vs Platense FC prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

CD Marathon host Platense FC in the Liga Nacional on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 02:30 WAT at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. CD Marathon sit 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Platense FC are 11th on 8 (in the bottom three). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

CD Marathon – form over the last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to CD Motagua 0–2 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.0 per game.

Platense FC – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Olancho 1–4 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.5 per game.

On form, CD Marathon have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 8 Aug 2026, finished Platense FC 1–1 CD Marathon. Across the last 2 meetings CD Marathon have won 0s, Platense FC 0, with 2 draws, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects CD Marathon 2.2 – 0.9 Platense FC in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 61% for over 2.5 goals, 57% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: CD Marathon 67% · draw 18% · Platense FC 15%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.01.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.01 – we make it 57%, the price implies 50%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked CD Marathon to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: CD Marathon 2–0 Platense FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

CD Marathon67%fair 1.50 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @5.25
Platense FC15%fair 6.54 · @7.00
3.09Expected goals
2.17CD Marathon xG
0.92Platense FC xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: CD Marathon 2.2 – 0.9 Platense FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✓67%1.501.27
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓85%1.181.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.772.01 ▲
Draw no betCD Marathon (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapCD Marathon -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreCD Marathon to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultCD Marathon ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

CD Marathon – last 6

LDDWWD
2 Nov@ CD Motagua0–2L
28 Oct@ Alianza0–0D
25 Oct@ Atletico Independiente2–2D
21 Octvs Alianza2–1W
16 Octvs Olancho2–1W
11 Oct@ Lobos Upnfm0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Platense FC – last 6

LLLWLD
1 Nov@ Olancho1–4L
25 Oct@ Real Espana3–4L
17 Octvs CD Motagua0–2L
9 Octvs Juticalpa2–1W
18 Sepvs Lobos Upnfm0–2L
12 Sep@ Estrella Roja2–2D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Platense FC v CD Marathon1–1
13 Feb 2026CD Marathon v Platense FC2–2
CD Marathon vs Platense FC head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Platense FC?

Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win CD Marathon vs Platense FC?

On our numbers CD Marathon have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Platense FC 15%.

How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Platense FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Platense FC?

Our predicted score is CD Marathon 2–0 Platense FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is CD Marathon vs Platense FC?

CD Marathon vs Platense FC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.