Value bet: Al Nejmeh to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Nejmeh to win ✓60% · @1.81
Double chanceAl Nejmeh or draw ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Premier League action on Sunday 8 November: Al Ahed take on Al Nejmeh at Beirut Municipal Stadium from 19:00 WAT. Al Ahed sit 4th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Al Nejmeh are 5th on 8 (in the top half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Al Ahed – form over the last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Shabab Al Sahel 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Al Nejmeh – form over the last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Jwaaya FC 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 28 Jul 2026, finished Al Nejmeh 2–1 Al Ahed. Across the last 3 meetings Al Ahed have won 0s, Al Nejmeh 3, with 0 draws, averaging 2.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Al Ahed 0.6 – 1.6 Al Nejmeh in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 43% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Al Ahed 15% · draw 26% · Al Nejmeh 60%.
Safer play: Al Nejmeh or draw (85%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.79.
Value angle: Al Nejmeh to win at 1.81 – we make it 60%, the price implies 55%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Al Ahed 0–1 Al Nejmeh. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Al Ahed15%fair 6.87 · @3.94
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
Al Nejmeh60%fair 1.68 · @1.81
2.20Expected goals
0.64Al Ahed xG
1.57Al Nejmeh xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Al Ahed 0.6 – 1.6 Al Nejmeh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
On our numbers Al Ahed have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Nejmeh 60%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
Our predicted score is Al Ahed 0–1 Al Nejmeh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Beirut Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
