Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.38 – our chance 56% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.54
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✓7% · fair 14.36
Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Mamer v US Mondorf-les-bains in the Cup – Sunday 8 November, 16:00 WAT.
Form guide
Mamer – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Red Star Merl-Belair 4–0 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 2.8 per game.
US Mondorf-les-bains – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat US Hostert 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. 3.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
On form, US Mondorf-les-bains have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Mamer 1.6 – 3.5 US Mondorf-les-bains in expected goals – roughly 5.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 73% for over 2.5 goals, 67% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Mamer 12% · draw 18% · US Mondorf-les-bains 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.74.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.38 – we make it 56%, the price implies 42%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.54, above our fair price of 1.36, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Mamer 1–3 US Mondorf-les-bains. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Mamer12%fair 8.25 · @6.45
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.30
US Mondorf-les-bains70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
5.07Expected goals
1.62Mamer xG
3.45US Mondorf-les-bains xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–26%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
2–45%
From our goals model: Mamer 1.6 – 3.5 US Mondorf-les-bains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Mondorf-les-bains to win✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
US Mondorf-les-bains or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.74 ▲
Draw no bet
US Mondorf-les-bains (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
US Mondorf-les-bains -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.54 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
2.38 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.16
First team to score
US Mondorf-les-bains to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
US Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains✓
51%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✓
7%
14.36
–
Recent results
Mamer – last 6
WLLWLL
20 Sep
@ Red Star Merl-Belair
4–0
W
26 Jul
@ Rodange 91
0–4
L
22 Jul
@ F91 Dudelange
0–2
L
21 Jul
vs Green Boys
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs Etzella Ettelbruck
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Nancy
0–8
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6
WLWWWL
31 Oct
vs US Hostert
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0–6
L
18 Oct
vs Wiltz
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ US Rumelange
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
10–1
W
16 Sep
@ Résidence Walferdange
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mamer and US Mondorf-les-bains.
What is the prediction for Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
On our numbers Mamer have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and US Mondorf-les-bains 70%.
How many goals will there be in Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
We expect about 5.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our predicted score is Mamer 1–3 US Mondorf-les-bains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.1 goals in total.
When is Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atert Bissen1
FC Differdange 033
Mondercange3
F91 Dudelange2