Indonesia 75%Draw 16%Bangladesh 9%Expected goals 1.36 – 0.14
93%
ZoraTips pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndonesia to win ✓75% · @1.02
Double chanceIndonesia or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗69% · @1.14
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗30% · fair 3.29
Indonesia vs Bangladesh prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Indonesia host Bangladesh in the on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 13:30 WAT at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium.
Form guide
Indonesia – form over the last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Malaysia 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Bangladesh – form over the last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Singapore 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.4 per game.
On form, Indonesia have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Indonesia 1.4 – 0.1 Bangladesh in expected goals – roughly 1.5 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 81% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more probable outcome.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Indonesia 75% · draw 16% · Bangladesh 9%.
Both teams to score: no (69%) at 1.14.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 93% confidence. Predicted score: Indonesia 1–0 Bangladesh. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Indonesia75%fair 1.33 · @1.02
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @12.00
Bangladesh9%fair 11.04 · @56.00
1.50Expected goals
1.36Indonesia xG
0.14Bangladesh xG
31%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–030%
0–022%
2–021%
3–09%
1–14%
4–03%
From our goals model: Indonesia 1.4 – 0.1 Bangladesh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indonesia to win✓
75%
1.33
1.02
Double chance
Indonesia or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.14
Draw no bet
Indonesia (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Indonesia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Indonesia to score first
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indonesia / FT Indonesia✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
30%
3.29
–
Recent results
Indonesia – last 6
DWDLWW
28 Sep
@ Malaysia
0–0
D
25 Sep
vs Singapore
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Singapore
1–1
D
3 Aug
vs Vietnam
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
3–0
W
27 Jul
vs Cambodia
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bangladesh – last 5
LLWLL
28 Sep
@ Singapore
0–1
L
25 Sep
vs Malaysia
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ San Marino
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Singapore
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Vietnam
0–3
L
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Bangladesh.
What is the prediction for Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 93% chance.
Who will win Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
On our numbers Indonesia have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bangladesh 9%.
How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 31% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
Our predicted score is Indonesia 1–0 Bangladesh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
Indonesia vs Bangladesh () kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Malaysia6
Singapore0