Sat 14 Nov

Yacoub El Mansour v USM Oujda: numbers & prediction

Botola 2 · Morocco
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Yacoub El Mansour 54%Draw 17%USM Oujda 29% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.83
63%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.47

6/10Rating
1.47Odds

Picks by market

ResultYacoub El Mansour to win54% · @1.51
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.54

Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Botola 2 action on Sunday 15 November: Yacoub El Mansour take on USM Oujda from 18:00 WAT. Yacoub El Mansour sit 4th with 14 points from 7 games (in the top four), while USM Oujda are 6th on 12 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Yacoub El Mansour – form over the last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Olympique Dcheïra 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.8 per game.

USM Oujda – form over the last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Union Sportive Boujaad 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Yacoub El Mansour 1.3 – 0.8 USM Oujda in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 63% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more probable outcome.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Yacoub El Mansour 54% · draw 17% · USM Oujda 29%.
  • Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.46.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: Yacoub El Mansour 1–1 USM Oujda. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Yacoub El Mansour54%fair 1.85 · @1.51
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @3.42
USM Oujda29%fair 3.47 · @5.95
2.17Expected goals
1.34Yacoub El Mansour xG
0.83USM Oujda xG
41%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Yacoub El Mansour 1.3 – 0.8 USM Oujda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYacoub El Mansour to win54%1.851.51
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.211.21
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score59%1.691.46
Draw no betYacoub El Mansour (draw no bet)65%1.53–
Asian handicapUSM Oujda +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals63%1.581.47
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals63%1.591.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.231.13
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals93%1.07–
First team to scoreYacoub El Mansour to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yacoub El Mansour / FT Yacoub El Mansour28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015%6.54–

Recent results

Yacoub El Mansour – last 6

LWDDWW
8 Nov@ Olympique Dcheïra0–1L
31 Octvs El Massira2–1W
25 Octvs Wydad Fès2–2D
17 Oct@ Union Sportive Boujaad1–1D
11 Octvs Riadi Salmi1–0W
4 Oct@ KAC Kenitra1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

USM Oujda – last 6

DDWLDW
7 Novvs Union Sportive Boujaad0–0D
31 Oct@ KAC Kenitra1–1D
25 Octvs Riadi Salmi2–1W
18 Oct@ Wydad Fès1–4L
10 Octvs Olympique Safi1–1D
4 Oct@ Chabab Mohammédia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Yacoub El Mansour and USM Oujda.

Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda head-to-head page →

Botola 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wydad Fès7511+816
2Ittihad Khemisset7511+716
3Olympique Dcheïra7511+716
4Yacoub El Mansour7421+414
5Stade Marocain7412+213
6USM Oujda7331012
7Olympique Khouribga7232+49
8KAC Kenitra723209
9Olympique Safi7232-19
10El Massira7223-18
11Mouloudia Oujda7223-28
12Chabab Ben Guerir7214-17
13Riadi Salmi7124-65
14Union Sportive Boujaad7043-54
15Chabab Atl. Khenifra7115-64
16Chabab Mohammédia7025-102

More Botola 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.

Who will win Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

On our numbers Yacoub El Mansour have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 17% and USM Oujda 29%.

How many goals will there be in Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

Our predicted score is Yacoub El Mansour 1–1 USM Oujda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.