Fri 13 Nov

Union Sportive Boujaad v Chabab Ben Guerir: numbers & prediction

Botola 2 · Morocco
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Union Sportive Boujaad 49%Draw 19%Chabab Ben Guerir 32% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.90
64%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Chabab Ben Guerir to win @ 3.92 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultUnion Sportive Boujaad to win49% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.84

Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Botola 2 action on Saturday 14 November: Union Sportive Boujaad take on Chabab Ben Guerir from 16:00 WAT. Union Sportive Boujaad sit 14th with 4 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Chabab Ben Guerir are 12th on 7 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Union Sportive Boujaad – form over the last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with USM Oujda 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Chabab Ben Guerir – form over the last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to KAC Kenitra 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 27 Jun 2026, finished Chabab Ben Guerir 0–0 Union Sportive Boujaad.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Union Sportive Boujaad 1.2 – 0.9 Chabab Ben Guerir in expected goals – roughly 2.1 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 64% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more probable outcome.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Union Sportive Boujaad 49% · draw 19% · Chabab Ben Guerir 32%.
  • Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.55.
  • Value angle: Chabab Ben Guerir to win at 3.92 – we make it 32%, the price implies 26%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 2.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Union Sportive Boujaad 1–0 Chabab Ben Guerir. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Union Sportive Boujaad49%fair 2.05 · @1.89
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @2.96
Chabab Ben Guerir32%fair 3.08 · @3.92
2.12Expected goals
1.22Union Sportive Boujaad xG
0.90Chabab Ben Guerir xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Union Sportive Boujaad 1.2 – 0.9 Chabab Ben Guerir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Sportive Boujaad to win49%2.051.89
Double chanceEither team to win81%1.231.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.781.55
Draw no betUnion Sportive Boujaad (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapChabab Ben Guerir +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals62%1.621.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals64%1.551.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals83%1.201.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals94%1.07–
First team to scoreUnion Sportive Boujaad to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Sportive Boujaad / FT Union Sportive Boujaad25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015%6.84–

Recent results

Union Sportive Boujaad – last 6

DLLDDL
7 Nov@ USM Oujda0–0D
31 Octvs Olympique Dcheïra2–3L
25 Oct@ El Massira1–2L
17 Octvs Yacoub El Mansour1–1D
10 Octvs KAC Kenitra1–1D
3 Oct@ Wydad Fès0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chabab Ben Guerir – last 6

LLWDLL
7 Novvs KAC Kenitra0–1L
31 Oct@ Wydad Fès1–3L
25 Octvs Chabab Mohammédia2–0W
17 Oct@ Mouloudia Oujda2–2D
10 Octvs Stade Marocain0–1L
4 Oct@ Olympique Safi0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Chabab Ben Guerir v Union Sportive Boujaad0–0
Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir head-to-head page →

Botola 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wydad Fès7511+816
2Ittihad Khemisset7511+716
3Olympique Dcheïra7511+716
4Yacoub El Mansour7421+414
5Stade Marocain7412+213
6USM Oujda7331012
7Olympique Khouribga7232+49
8KAC Kenitra723209
9Olympique Safi7232-19
10El Massira7223-18
11Mouloudia Oujda7223-28
12Chabab Ben Guerir7214-17
13Riadi Salmi7124-65
14Union Sportive Boujaad7043-54
15Chabab Atl. Khenifra7115-64
16Chabab Mohammédia7025-102

More Botola 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

On our numbers Union Sportive Boujaad have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chabab Ben Guerir 32%.

How many goals will there be in Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Our predicted score is Union Sportive Boujaad 1–0 Chabab Ben Guerir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Union Sportive Boujaad vs Chabab Ben Guerir (Botola 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.