Thu 12 Nov

Qatar v Australia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Qatar

DDWWL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Australia

LDDDL
Qatar 38%Draw 21%Australia 41% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.15
78%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Qatar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultAustralia to win41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.06

Qatar vs Australia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Friendlies action on Friday 13 November: Qatar take on Australia at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium from 15:45 WAT.

Form guide

Qatar – form over the last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Saudi Arabia 0–0 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Australia – form over the last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Brazil 2–4 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Qatar 1.1 – 1.1 Australia in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Qatar 38% · draw 21% · Australia 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
  • Value angle: Qatar to win at 3.00 – we make it 38%, the price implies 33%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Qatar 1–1 Australia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Qatar38%fair 2.60 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.40
Australia41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
2.25Expected goals
1.11Qatar xG
1.15Australia xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Qatar 1.1 – 1.1 Australia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustralia to win41%2.462.10
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.861.91
Draw no betAustralia (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapQatar +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.491.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.721.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.08
First team to scoreAustralia to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Australia / FT Australia21%4.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%13.06–

Recent results

Qatar – last 6

DDWWLL
3 Oct@ Saudi Arabia0–0D
30 Sep@ United Arab Emirates1–1D
27 Sep@ Yemen1–0W
24 Sepvs Bahrain2–0W
24 Jun@ Bosnia & Herzegovina1–3L
18 Jun@ Canada0–6L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Australia – last 6

LDDDLW
29 Sepvs Brazil2–4L
25 Sepvs Brazil1–1D
3 Julvs Egypt1–1D
26 Jun@ Paraguay0–0D
19 Jun@ USA0–2L
14 Junvs Türkiye2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Qatar and Australia.

Qatar vs Australia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
Singapore Paraguay 111%26.00X18%10.00271%1.09 0.8–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.36
Chinese Taipei Kyrgyzstan 15%15.75X20%6.50275%1.15 0.6–2.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.59
Kuwait Syria 137%3.00X21%3.50243%2.05 1.5–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.28
United Arab Emirates Honduras 145%2.07X22%3.24233%3.40 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33
Saudi Arabia South Korea 120%3.60X17%3.60263%1.80 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22
Poland U21 Norway U21 160%1.83X15%3.80225%3.25 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40
Germany U21 Belgium U21 165%1.68X12%3.85223%3.74 2.1–1.1xG 1Germany U21 to win 65%@1.68
France U21 Italy U21 163%1.59X18%4.05219%4.05 2.0–1.0xG 1France U21 to win 63%@1.59

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qatar vs Australia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Qatar vs Australia?

On our numbers Qatar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Australia 41%.

How many goals will there be in Qatar vs Australia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qatar vs Australia?

Our predicted score is Qatar 1–1 Australia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Qatar vs Australia?

Qatar vs Australia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.