Mon 16 Nov

Cuba v Grenada: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Estadio La Polar

Cuba

WDDWW
Mon 16 Nov 2026

Grenada

WLWLL
Cuba 65%Draw 20%Grenada 15% Expected goals 2.54 – 1.31
69%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.48

7/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCuba to win65% · @1.28
Double chanceCuba or draw85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals69% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.12

Cuba vs Grenada prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Cuba v Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League – Monday 16 November, 20:00 WAT, Estadio La Polar.

Form guide

Cuba – form over the last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Bonaire 7–1 on the road. 3.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Grenada – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat St. Kitts and Nevis 3–2 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 2.8 per game.

On form, Cuba have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 25 Sep 2026, finished Grenada 0–3 Cuba.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Cuba 2.5 – 1.3 Grenada in expected goals – roughly 3.8 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 69% for over 2.5 goals, 64% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Cuba 65% · draw 20% · Grenada 15%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – we make it 64%, the price implies 58%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Cuba 2–1 Grenada. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Cuba65%fair 1.54 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.75
Grenada15%fair 6.59 · @8.00
3.85Expected goals
2.54Cuba xG
1.31Grenada xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: Cuba 2.5 – 1.3 Grenada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (ZoraTips)

CubaGrenada
Attack vs CONCACAF Nations League average+37%-7%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+18%
Our expected goals here2.681.52

Our own ratings from every CONCACAF Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuba to win65%1.541.28
Double chanceCuba or draw85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.571.73 ▲
Draw no betCuba (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapCuba -0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals86%1.161.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals69%1.451.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals51%1.961.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals70%1.421.25
First team to scoreCuba to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultCuba ahead at half-time49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cuba / FT Cuba42%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.12–

Recent results

Cuba – last 6

WDDWWD
12 Nov@ Bonaire7–1W
5 Octvs St. Kitts and Nevis2–2D
2 Oct@ St. Kitts and Nevis3–3D
28 Sepvs Bonaire2–0W
25 Sep@ Grenada3–0W
26 Mar@ Martinique2–2D
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Grenada – last 6

WLWLLL
13 Novvs St. Kitts and Nevis3–2W
6 Octvs Bonaire1–4L
3 Oct@ Bonaire3–2W
29 Sep@ St. Kitts and Nevis0–3L
25 Sepvs Cuba0–3L
30 Marvs Kenya0–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Sep 2026Grenada v Cuba0–3
Cuba vs Grenada head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cuba vs Grenada?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Cuba vs Grenada?

On our numbers Cuba have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grenada 15%.

How many goals will there be in Cuba vs Grenada?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cuba vs Grenada?

Our predicted score is Cuba 2–1 Grenada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Cuba vs Grenada?

Cuba vs Grenada (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Polar.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.