CONCACAF Nations League action on Friday 13 November: Bermuda take on St. Lucia at Stade Roger Zami from 20:00 WAT.
Form guide
Bermuda – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Barbados 1–2 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 3.2 per game.
St. Lucia – form over the last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Guadeloupe 1–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, St. Lucia have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 29 Sep 2026, finished St. Lucia 5–2 Bermuda.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Bermuda 0.9 – 2.8 St. Lucia in expected goals – roughly 3.8 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Bermuda 10% · draw 14% · St. Lucia 76%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Bermuda 0–3 St. Lucia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Bermuda10%fair 10.42 · @10.30
Draw14%fair 7.14 · @7.41
St. Lucia76%fair 1.31 · @1.18
3.77Expected goals
0.94Bermuda xG
2.83St. Lucia xG
62%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–29%
0–39%
1–29%
1–38%
0–17%
0–46%
From our goals model: Bermuda 0.9 – 2.8 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
On our numbers Bermuda have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 14% and St. Lucia 76%.
How many goals will there be in Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
Our predicted score is Bermuda 0–3 St. Lucia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
Bermuda vs St. Lucia (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Roger Zami.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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