Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Guatemala to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuatemala to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceGuatemala or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Guatemala vs Suriname prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Guatemala host Suriname in the CONCACAF Nations League on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 01:00 WAT at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Form guide
Guatemala – form over the last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Suriname 0–0 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 2.7 per game.
Suriname – form over the last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Guatemala 0–0 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.
On form, Suriname have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Suriname 0–0 Guatemala.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Guatemala 2.1 – 1.1 Suriname in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 61% for over 2.5 goals, 60% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Guatemala 60% · draw 21% · Suriname 19%.
Safer play: Guatemala or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Guatemala to win at 1.85 – we make it 60%, the price implies 54%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Guatemala or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Guatemala 2–1 Suriname. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Guatemala60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Suriname19%fair 5.35 · @3.75
3.17Expected goals
2.08Guatemala xG
1.09Suriname xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Guatemala 2.1 – 1.1 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Guatemala or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guatemala vs Suriname?
On our numbers Guatemala have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Suriname 19%.
How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs Suriname?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guatemala vs Suriname?
Our predicted score is Guatemala 2–1 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Guatemala vs Suriname?
Guatemala vs Suriname (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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