Wed 11 Nov

Aluminium Arak v Mes Shahr-e Babak: numbers & prediction

Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran · Imam Khomeini
1–0
FT
Aluminium Arak 66%Draw 20%Mes Shahr-e Babak 14% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.49
66%
ZoraTips pick

Aluminium Arak to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultAluminium Arak to win ✓66% · @1.43
Double chanceAluminium Arak or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.96

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Aluminium Arak host Mes Shahr-e Babak in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 13:00 WAT at Imam Khomeini. Aluminium Arak sit 6th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Mes Shahr-e Babak are 18th on 5 (in the bottom three). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Aluminium Arak – form over the last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Foolad FC 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

Mes Shahr-e Babak – form over the last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Paykan 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Aluminium Arak 1.6 – 0.5 Mes Shahr-e Babak in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 69% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more probable outcome.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Aluminium Arak 66% · draw 20% · Mes Shahr-e Babak 14%.
  • Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.25.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Aluminium Arak to win, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Aluminium Arak 1–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Aluminium Arak66%fair 1.51 · @1.43
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.32
Mes Shahr-e Babak14%fair 7.24 · @8.50
2.04Expected goals
1.56Aluminium Arak xG
0.49Mes Shahr-e Babak xG
40%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–016%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Aluminium Arak 1.6 – 0.5 Mes Shahr-e Babak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAluminium Arak to win ✓66%1.511.43
Double chanceAluminium Arak or draw ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.681.25
Draw no betAluminium Arak (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapAluminium Arak -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.741.69
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.171.05
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreAluminium Arak to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aluminium Arak / FT Aluminium Arak ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20%4.96–

Recent results

Aluminium Arak – last 6

LDLLDD
30 Oct@ Foolad FC0–1L
23 Octvs ZOB Ahan0–0D
17 Oct@ Sanat Naft1–2L
13 Oct@ Fajr Sepasi1–2L
8 Octvs Malavan1–1D
6 Sepvs Esteghlal FC0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mes Shahr-e Babak – last 6

LLLLDL
31 Octvs Paykan1–3L
25 Oct@ Sepahan FC0–4L
19 Octvs Persepolis FC0–3L
8 Oct@ Foolad FC1–2L
13 Sepvs Nassaji Mazandaran1–1D
7 Sepvs Malavan1–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aluminium Arak and Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak head-to-head page →

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sepahan FC12822+1626
2Persepolis FC12723+1323
3Tractor Sazi11722+923
4Foolad FC12651+623
5Esteghlal FC11560+921
6Aluminium Arak12453+317
7Fajr Sepasi11452-117
8Chadormalu SC12453-317
9Gol Gohar11425+114
10Kheybar Khorramabad12354-114
11Paykan12354-114
12Nassaji Mazandaran12264-312
13Esteghlal Khuzestan12255-711
14ZOB Ahan12174-410
15Malavan12336-610
16Sanat Naft11245-910
17Shams Azar Qazvin11146-67
18Mes Shahr-e Babak12057-165

More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

Our pick is Aluminium Arak to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

On our numbers Aluminium Arak have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mes Shahr-e Babak 14%.

How many goals will there be in Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

Our predicted score is Aluminium Arak 1–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Imam Khomeini.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.