Napier City Rovers v Ferrymead Bays: numbers & prediction

Napier City Rovers vs Ferrymead Bays prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Napier City Rovers host Ferrymead Bays in the National League National on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 01:00 WAT at Bluewater Stadium. Napier City Rovers sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Ferrymead Bays are 9th on 7 (in the bottom three). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Napier City Rovers – form over the last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Auckland FC 2 6–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Ferrymead Bays – form over the last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Wellington Phoenix II 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Napier City Rovers have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Napier City Rovers 2.2 – 1.2 Ferrymead Bays in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Napier City Rovers 63% · draw 15% · Ferrymead Bays 23%.
• Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.38.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Napier City Rovers 2–1 Ferrymead Bays. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.