Wed 11 Nov

Kaya W v Melbourne City W: numbers & prediction

AFC Women's Champions League · World · Markaziy Stadium

Kaya W

LDWW
0–7
FT
Kaya W 8%Draw 17%Melbourne City W 75% Expected goals 1.06 – 3.09
63%
ZoraTips pick

Over 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.04 – our chance 55% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne City W to win ✓75% · @1.01
Double chanceMelbourne City W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @3.04
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.17

Kaya W vs Melbourne City W prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

AFC Women's Champions League action on Wednesday 4 November: Kaya W take on Melbourne City W at Markaziy Stadium from 11:30 WAT.

Form guide

Kaya W – form over the last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Beijing Beikong W 0–6 on the road. 2.8 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Melbourne City W – form over the last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Nasaf W 0–2 at home. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Kaya W 1.1 – 3.1 Melbourne City W in expected goals – roughly 4.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 79% for over 2.5 goals, 55% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Kaya W 8% · draw 17% · Melbourne City W 75%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 3.04.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 3.04 – we make it 55%, the price implies 33%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 3.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Kaya W 1–3 Melbourne City W. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Kaya W8%fair 13.13 · @22.00
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @11.25
Melbourne City W75%fair 1.33 · @1.01
4.15Expected goals
1.06Kaya W xG
3.09Melbourne City W xG
55%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–38%
1–28%
0–38%
0–28%
1–46%
0–46%

From our goals model: Kaya W 1.1 – 3.1 Melbourne City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne City W to win ✓75%1.331.01
Double chanceMelbourne City W or draw ✓92%1.08–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.803.04 ▲
Draw no betMelbourne City W (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapMelbourne City W -1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.261.13
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗52%1.922.08 ▲
First team to scoreMelbourne City W to score first ✓73%1.37–
Half-time resultMelbourne City W ahead at half-time ✗59%1.69–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne City W / FT Melbourne City W ✗55%1.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.17–

Recent results

Kaya W – last 4

LDWW
1 Nov@ Beijing Beikong W0–6L
23 Augvs TSL FC W0–0D
20 Aug@ Phnom Penh W5–1W
17 Augvs Ilbirs W6–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Melbourne City W – last 6

LWWLWW
1 Novvs Nasaf W0–2L
25 Oct@ Sydney FC W5–0W
18 Oct@ Wellington Phoenix W2–1W
20 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy Beleza W1–3L
16 Mayvs Wellington Phoenix W3–1W
9 Mayvs Melbourne Victory W1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kaya W and Melbourne City W.

Kaya W vs Melbourne City W head-to-head page →

More AFC Women's Champions League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?

On our numbers Kaya W have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Melbourne City W 75%.

How many goals will there be in Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?

Our predicted score is Kaya W 1–3 Melbourne City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?

Kaya W vs Melbourne City W (AFC Women's Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.