Thu 12 Nov

Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil
2–1
FTPens 4–5
Vasco DA Gama 35%Draw 22%Palmeiras 42% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.29
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPalmeiras to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras in the Copa Do Brasil – Sunday 8 November, 21:00 WAT.

Form guide

Vasco DA Gama – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Atletico Paranaense 3–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.0 per game.

Palmeiras – form over the last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Remo 6–1 at home. They score 1.8 and concede 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Palmeiras have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Nov 2026, finished Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Across the last 3 meetings Vasco DA Gama have won 1, Palmeiras 2, with 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Vasco DA Gama 1.2 – 1.3 Palmeiras in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Vasco DA Gama 35% · draw 22% · Palmeiras 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Palmeiras to win at 2.70 – we make it 42%, the price implies 37%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Palmeiras. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.82 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Palmeiras42%fair 2.37 · @2.70
2.45Expected goals
1.16Vasco DA Gama xG
1.29Palmeiras xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.2 – 1.3 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalmeiras to win ✗42%2.372.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Draw no betPalmeiras (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapVasco DA Gama +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.08
First team to scorePalmeiras to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.97–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

WLLWLL
4 Nov@ Atletico Paranaense3–1W
1 Nov@ Palmeiras0–1L
30 Octvs Flamengo1–4L
24 Octvs Corinthians3–2W
21 Octvs Boca Juniors1–3L
18 Oct@ Sao Paulo0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Palmeiras – last 6

WWDWLW
5 Novvs Remo6–1W
1 Novvs Vasco DA Gama1–0W
28 Oct@ Santos0–0D
24 Octvs RB Bragantino2–0W
22 Octvs Fluminense0–1L
17 Oct@ Atletico Paranaense2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Nov 2026Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama1–0
23 Aug 2026Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama4–1
12 Mar 2026Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras2–1
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 42%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.