Wed 11 Nov

Gnistan v VPS: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Markku.fi Areena

Gnistan

LDLLL
5–1
FT

VPS

LDLLW
Gnistan 43%Draw 19%VPS 38% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.43
61%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.63Odds
2

Value bet: VPS to win @ 2.93 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGnistan to win ✓43% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.41
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Gnistan vs VPS prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Veikkausliiga action on Sunday 8 November: Gnistan take on VPS at Markku.fi Areena from 14:00 WAT. Gnistan sit 5th with 46 points from 32 games, while VPS are 6th on 40.

Form guide

Gnistan – form over the last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Inter Turku 3–4 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 2.3 per game.

VPS – form over the last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to HJK Helsinki 0–4 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.2 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 Oct 2026, finished VPS 1–0 Gnistan. Across the last 2 meetings Gnistan have won 0s, VPS 1, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Gnistan 1.5 – 1.4 VPS in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Gnistan 43% · draw 19% · VPS 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.41.
  • Value angle: VPS to win at 2.93 – we make it 38%, the price implies 34%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.63. Predicted score: Gnistan 1–1 VPS. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Gnistan43%fair 2.34 · @2.11
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.84
VPS38%fair 2.64 · @2.93
2.98Expected goals
1.54Gnistan xG
1.43VPS xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Gnistan 1.5 – 1.4 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGnistan to win ✓43%2.342.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.41
Draw no betGnistan (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapVPS +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.631.63
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.21
First team to scoreGnistan to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gnistan / FT Gnistan ✓24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Gnistan – last 6

LDLLLD
2 Nov@ Inter Turku3–4L
29 Oct@ KuPS1–1D
24 Octvs AC Oulu3–4L
17 Oct@ HJK Helsinki0–4L
12 Oct@ VPS0–1L
7 Octvs Inter Turku0–0D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

VPS – last 6

LDLLWL
2 Novvs HJK Helsinki0–4L
28 Oct@ AC Oulu0–0D
24 Octvs Inter Turku0–1L
18 Oct@ KuPS0–2L
12 Octvs Gnistan1–0W
8 Oct@ HJK Helsinki0–6L
0.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Oct 2026VPS v Gnistan1–0
27 Jun 2026Gnistan v VPS1–1
Gnistan vs VPS head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gnistan vs VPS?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.

Who will win Gnistan vs VPS?

On our numbers Gnistan have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and VPS 38%.

How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs VPS?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs VPS?

Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Gnistan vs VPS?

Gnistan vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.