Wed 11 Nov

Porto U19 v Napoli U19: numbers & prediction

UEFA Youth League · Europe · Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes
3–1
FT
Porto U19 79%Draw 16%Napoli U19 5% Expected goals 2.89 – 0.78
71%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPorto U19 to win ✓79% · @1.10
Double chancePorto U19 or draw ✓95% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07

Porto U19 vs Napoli U19 prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Youth League action on Wednesday 4 November: Porto U19 take on Napoli U19 at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes from 13:00 WAT.

Form guide

Porto U19 – form over the last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Feirense U19 0–1 on the road. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Napoli U19 – form over the last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Monopoli U19 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Porto U19 2.9 – 0.8 Napoli U19 in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 71% for over 2.5 goals, 54% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Porto U19 79% · draw 16% · Napoli U19 5%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.25.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – we make it 54%, the price implies 44%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 71% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Porto U19 3–0 Napoli U19. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Porto U1979%fair 1.27 · @1.10
Draw16%fair 6.24 · @8.00
Napoli U195%fair 18.65 · @21.00
3.67Expected goals
2.89Porto U19 xG
0.78Napoli U19 xG
54%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Porto U19 2.9 – 0.8 Napoli U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPorto U19 to win ✓79%1.271.10
Double chancePorto U19 or draw ✓95%1.061.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.842.25 ▲
Draw no betPorto U19 (draw no bet) ✓94%1.07–
Asian handicapPorto U19 -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.141.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.971.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
First team to scorePorto U19 to score first ✓77%1.30–
Half-time resultPorto U19 ahead at half-time ✓60%1.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Porto U19 / FT Porto U19 ✓57%1.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.07–

Recent results

Porto U19 – last 6

LLWWLW
31 Oct@ Feirense U190–1L
24 Oct@ Academico Viseu U191–5L
20 Octvs PSV U193–1W
17 Octvs Gil Vicente U195–0W
14 Oct@ Real Betis U190–5L
10 Oct@ Sporting Braga U194–2W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Napoli U19 – last 6

DWWDLW
31 Oct@ Monopoli U190–0D
24 Octvs Spezia U193–1W
20 Octvs Bodø Glimt U191–0W
17 Oct@ Bari U191–1D
13 Oct@ Villarreal U190–5L
10 Octvs Pisa U191–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Porto U19 and Napoli U19.

Porto U19 vs Napoli U19 head-to-head page →

UEFA Youth League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chelsea U196510+1416
2Benfica U196501+1915
3Club Brugge U196501+815
4Real Madrid U196501+715
5Villarreal U196501+515
6Athletic U196420+1014
7Atlético Madrid U196411+813
8Barcelona U196411+413
9Tottenham Hotspur U196402+1412
10Manchester City U196402+1012
11Borussia Dortmund U196402+512
12Sporting CP U196330+312
13PSG U196321+911
14Internazionale U196321+611
15Ajax U196312+810
16Liverpool U196312-510
17Bayer Leverkusen U196312-710
18Monaco U196303+109
19PSV U196222+48
20Slavia Praha U196222-18
21Eintracht Frankf U196213+27
22Olympique Marseille U196213+17
23København U19621307
24Olympiakos Piraeus U196213-27
25Napoli U196132-36
26Juventus U196123+15
27Bayern München U196114-64
28Kairat U196114-74
29Atalanta U196114-74
30Pafos U196114-104
31R. Union SG U196114-114
32Galatasaray U186114-154
33Arsenal U196105-73
34Newcastle United U196006-110
35Bodø / Glimt U196006-270
36Qarabağ U196006-290

More UEFA Youth League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?

On our numbers Porto U19 have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Napoli U19 5%.

How many goals will there be in Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?

Our predicted score is Porto U19 3–0 Napoli U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?

Porto U19 vs Napoli U19 (UEFA Youth League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.