Sat 14 Nov

Al-Kawkab v Najran: numbers & prediction

Division 2 · Saudi-Arabia
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Najran

LDLWW
Al-Kawkab 50%Draw 16%Najran 33% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.33
78%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Najran to win @ 4.40 – our chance 33% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +47%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultAl-Kawkab to win50% · @1.61
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.72

Al-Kawkab vs Najran prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Al-Kawkab host Najran in the Division 2 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 13:05 WAT. Al-Kawkab sit 6th with 10 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Najran are 27th on 4 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Al-Kawkab – form over the last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Jubbah 3–1 on the road. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Najran – form over the last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Al Najoom 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Al-Kawkab have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Al-Kawkab 1.7 – 1.3 Najran in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 55% for over 2.5 goals, 52% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Al-Kawkab 50% · draw 16% · Najran 33%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Najran to win at 4.40 – we make it 33%, the price implies 23%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Al-Kawkab 1–1 Najran. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Al-Kawkab50%fair 1.99 · @1.61
Draw16%fair 6.12 · @3.66
Najran33%fair 3.00 · @4.40
3.04Expected goals
1.72Al-Kawkab xG
1.33Najran xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Al-Kawkab 1.7 – 1.3 Najran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Kawkab to win50%1.991.61
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.941.73
Draw no betAl-Kawkab (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapNajran +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.801.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.511.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.211.08
First team to scoreAl-Kawkab to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Kawkab / FT Al-Kawkab28%3.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.72–

Recent results

Al-Kawkab – last 6

WDLWWD
8 Nov@ Jubbah3–1W
29 Octvs Al Jubail2–2D
24 Oct@ Al Hada1–4L
18 Octvs Al Arabi SC3–1W
10 Oct@ Al Najoom2–1W
9 Apr@ Al Safa2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Najran – last 6

LDLWWL
9 Novvs Al Najoom0–1L
3 Novvs Jubbah1–1D
29 Oct@ Al Sharq0–2L
19 Oct@ Jerash2–1W
10 Aprvs Al Najoom3–2W
28 Mar@ Al Sahel0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al-Kawkab and Najran.

Al-Kawkab vs Najran head-to-head page →

Division 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Sharq6420+1114
2Al Sahel7412+413
3Al-Wajj7331+312
4Al Qalah5320+711
5Al Arabi SC6321+311
6Al-Kawkab5311+210
7Baish5311+210
8Al Safa6312-210
9Al-Ain4301+69
10Al Qwarah7223+28
11Al Entesar6222+18
12Arar6222-18
13Al Taraji6222-38
14Al Nairyah5212+17
15Al Rawdhah5212+17
16Al Shoalah521207
17Al-Washm5212-27
18Al Najoom6213-27
19Al Loa5212-47
20Jerash3201+46
21Al Hada5131+16
22Al Gottah6132-16
23Al Rayan6132-16
24Qilwah512205
25Al Jubail6051-15
26Afif7124-55
27Najran4112-24
28Al Qous6042-64
29Al Baten5032-53
30Jubbah6033-63
31Mudhar Club4022-32
32Hetten FC2002-40

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Kawkab vs Najran?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Al-Kawkab vs Najran?

On our numbers Al-Kawkab have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Najran 33%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Kawkab vs Najran?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Kawkab vs Najran?

Our predicted score is Al-Kawkab 1–1 Najran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Al-Kawkab vs Najran?

Al-Kawkab vs Najran (Division 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:05 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.