Wed 11 Nov

Rubio NU v Sportivo Luqueno: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio La Arboleda
0–5
FT
Rubio NU 44%Draw 22%Sportivo Luqueno 33% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.22
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Sportivo Luqueno to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRubio NU to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Rubio NU v Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional Clausura – Thursday 5 November, 23:00 WAT, Estadio La Arboleda. Rubio NU sit 10th with 17 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Sportivo Luqueno are 8th on 22 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Rubio NU – form over the last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Sportivo Trinidense 4–2 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.3 per game.

Sportivo Luqueno – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Nacional Asuncion 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Rubio NU have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 28 Aug 2026, finished Sportivo Luqueno 2–1 Rubio NU. Across the last 3 meetings Rubio NU have won 1, Sportivo Luqueno 1, with 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Rubio NU 1.4 – 1.2 Sportivo Luqueno in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Rubio NU 44% · draw 22% · Sportivo Luqueno 33%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
  • Value angle: Sportivo Luqueno to win at 3.20 – we make it 33%, the price implies 31%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Rubio NU 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Rubio NU44%fair 2.27 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Sportivo Luqueno33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
2.67Expected goals
1.45Rubio NU xG
1.22Sportivo Luqueno xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Rubio NU 1.4 – 1.2 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRubio NU to win ✗44%2.272.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.83
Draw no betRubio NU (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapSportivo Luqueno +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.141.08
First team to scoreRubio NU to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rubio NU / FT Rubio NU ✗25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Rubio NU – last 6

WLLDWL
30 Oct@ Sportivo Trinidense4–2W
23 Octvs Club Guarani0–2L
16 Oct@ Deportivo Recoleta0–1L
11 Octvs Olimpia0–0D
6 Oct@ Sportivo Ameliano2–1W
30 Sep@ Cerro Porteno1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

LLLWLL
31 Octvs Nacional Asuncion0–3L
28 Octvs Deportivo Recoleta0–2L
23 Oct@ Libertad Asuncion0–1L
18 Octvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–2W
10 Octvs Cerro Porteno0–3L
5 Oct@ Sportivo Trinidense2–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Aug 2026Sportivo Luqueno v Rubio NU2–1
3 May 2026Rubio NU v Sportivo Luqueno0–0
2 Mar 2026Sportivo Luqueno v Rubio NU0–1
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno?

On our numbers Rubio NU have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Luqueno 33%.

How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our predicted score is Rubio NU 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.