Fri 13 Nov

Real Refineros v Atlético Saltillo: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026
Real Refineros 50%Draw 17%Atlético Saltillo 33% Expected goals 2.12 – 1.68
68%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Refineros to win50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.82

Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Real Refineros host Atlético Saltillo in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 23:00 WAT. Real Refineros sit 8th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Atlético Saltillo are 8th on 11 (in the top half).

Form guide

Real Refineros – form over the last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Acatlan 3–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Atlético Saltillo – form over the last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Ciervos 7–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Real Refineros have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Real Refineros 2.1 – 1.7 Atlético Saltillo in expected goals – roughly 3.8 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Real Refineros 50% · draw 17% · Atlético Saltillo 33%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Real Refineros 2–1 Atlético Saltillo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Real Refineros50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @3.50
Atlético Saltillo33%fair 3.04 · @3.00
3.79Expected goals
2.12Real Refineros xG
1.68Atlético Saltillo xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%

From our goals model: Real Refineros 2.1 – 1.7 Atlético Saltillo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Refineros to win50%1.992.00
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.20–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.75–
Draw no betReal Refineros (draw no bet)60%1.65–
Asian handicapAtlético Saltillo +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals68%1.481.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals53%1.90–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals67%1.50–
First team to scoreReal Refineros to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultReal Refineros ahead at half-time38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Refineros / FT Real Refineros30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%11.82–

Recent results

Real Refineros – last 6

WWLDLL
7 Nov@ Acatlan3–1W
31 Octvs Guerreros3–2W
27 Oct@ FC Santiago0–6L
17 Octvs Guerreros del Pacifico3–3D
10 Octvs Halcones Negros2–3L
4 Oct@ Dragones de Oaxaca2–3L
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Atlético Saltillo – last 6

WLLLLD
7 Novvs Ciervos7–2W
31 Oct@ Artesanos Metepec0–4L
18 Octvs Acatlan2–3L
11 Oct@ Vaqueros Reynosa1–2L
3 Oct@ Mineros de Fresnillo0–3L
26 Sepvs Héroes de Zaci2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Refineros and Atlético Saltillo.

Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago11713+2024
2Acatlan11713+523
3La Tribu de Cd. Juarez11704+1822
4Mineros de Fresnillo11632+1122
5Correcaminos UAT II11623+421
6Vaqueros Reynosa11524+118
7Guerreros10424015
8Atlético Saltillo10406-711
9Real Apodaca11317-79
10Héroes de Zaci10019-262
1Dragones de Oaxaca11722+1625
2Artesanos Metepec11731+1425
3Acambaro11713+1723
4Delfines Coatzacoalcos11533+419
5Halcones Negros11515+417
6Guerreros del Pacifico11416+117
7Calor de San Pedro11416-716
8Real Refineros11515-515
9Ciervos11209-275
10Cañoneros Marina100010-360

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo?

On our numbers Real Refineros have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Saltillo 33%.

How many goals will there be in Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo?

Our predicted score is Real Refineros 2–1 Atlético Saltillo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo?

Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.