Wed 11 Nov

Real Apodaca v Dragones de Oaxaca: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT
Real Apodaca 15%Draw 18%Dragones de Oaxaca 67% Expected goals 0.99 – 2.29
67%
ZoraTips pick

Dragones de Oaxaca to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultDragones de Oaxaca to win ✗67% · @1.33
Double chanceDragones de Oaxaca or draw ✗85% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Real Apodaca host Dragones de Oaxaca in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 23:00 WAT. Real Apodaca sit 9th with 9 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Dragones de Oaxaca are 1st on 25 (top of the table). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Real Apodaca – form over the last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Halcones Negros 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Dragones de Oaxaca – form over the last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Mineros de Fresnillo 2–0 at home. They are averaging 3.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Dragones de Oaxaca have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Real Apodaca 1.0 – 2.3 Dragones de Oaxaca in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 63% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Real Apodaca 15% · draw 18% · Dragones de Oaxaca 67%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.69.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Dragones de Oaxaca to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Real Apodaca 0–2 Dragones de Oaxaca. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Real Apodaca15%fair 6.72 · @7.70
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.40
Dragones de Oaxaca67%fair 1.50 · @1.33
3.28Expected goals
0.99Real Apodaca xG
2.29Dragones de Oaxaca xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Real Apodaca 1.0 – 2.3 Dragones de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDragones de Oaxaca to win ✗67%1.501.33
Double chanceDragones de Oaxaca or draw ✗85%1.171.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.69
Draw no betDragones de Oaxaca (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapDragones de Oaxaca -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.731.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
First team to scoreDragones de Oaxaca to score first ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultDragones de Oaxaca ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dragones de Oaxaca / FT Dragones de Oaxaca ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Real Apodaca – last 6

LDLLLL
3 Nov@ Halcones Negros0–1L
25 Octvs Guerreros del Pacifico3–3D
17 Oct@ FC Santiago0–3L
11 Octvs Correcaminos UAT II0–1L
4 Octvs Vaqueros Reynosa1–2L
27 Sep@ La Tribu de Cd. Juarez1–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dragones de Oaxaca – last 6

WWDWWD
1 Novvs Mineros de Fresnillo2–0W
25 Octvs Héroes de Zaci6–0W
17 Oct@ Artesanos Metepec0–0D
13 Octvs Guerreros del Pacifico5–1W
4 Octvs Real Refineros3–2W
27 Sep@ Delfines Coatzacoalcos3–3D
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Apodaca and Dragones de Oaxaca.

Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago11713+2024
2Acatlan11713+523
3La Tribu de Cd. Juarez11704+1822
4Mineros de Fresnillo11632+1122
5Correcaminos UAT II11623+420
6Vaqueros Reynosa11524+118
7Guerreros10424015
8Atlético Saltillo10406-711
9Real Apodaca11317-79
10Héroes de Zaci10019-262
1Dragones de Oaxaca11722+1625
2Artesanos Metepec11731+1425
3Acambaro11713+1723
4Delfines Coatzacoalcos11533+419
5Halcones Negros11515+417
6Guerreros del Pacifico11416+117
7Calor de San Pedro11416-716
8Real Refineros11515-515
9Ciervos11209-275
10Cañoneros Marina100010-360

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

Our pick is Dragones de Oaxaca to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

On our numbers Real Apodaca have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dragones de Oaxaca 67%.

How many goals will there be in Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

Our predicted score is Real Apodaca 0–2 Dragones de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.