Buriram United 26%Draw 21%Kashima 53%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.79
64%
ZoraTips pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✗53% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Buriram United vs Kashima prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
AFC Champions League action on Wednesday 4 November: Buriram United take on Kashima at Chang Arena from 13:15 WAT. Buriram United sit 12th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Kashima are 2nd on 10 (in the top four).
Form guide
Buriram United – form over the last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Gamba Osaka 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. 2.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Kashima – form over the last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 4–1 at home. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Buriram United 1.2 – 1.8 Kashima in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 58% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Buriram United 26% · draw 21% · Kashima 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 2.15 – we make it 53%, the price implies 47%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Buriram United 1–1 Kashima. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Buriram United26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Kashima53%fair 1.88 · @2.15
2.95Expected goals
1.17Buriram United xG
1.79Kashima xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Buriram United 1.2 – 1.8 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✗
53%
1.88
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Buriram United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Kashima to score first✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Buriram United – last 6
DLWWLW
28 Oct
@ Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Sisaket United
2–3
L
21 Oct
vs DPU Thayang FC
8–0
W
18 Oct
@ Pattani
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Rayong FC
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWLDWW
31 Oct
vs Cerezo Osaka
4–1
W
28 Oct
vs Pohang Steelers
3–0
W
24 Oct
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–3
L
21 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Kashima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Buriram United vs Kashima?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kashima 53%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Kashima?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Kashima?
Buriram United vs Kashima (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
