Mgarr United 19%Draw 19%Naxxar Lions 62%Expected goals 0.96 – 1.99
62%
ZoraTips pick
Naxxar Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.72 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.72Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✓62% · @1.72
Double chanceNaxxar Lions or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Challenge League action on Sunday 8 November: Mgarr United take on Naxxar Lions from 14:30 WAT. Mgarr United sit 7th with 10 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Naxxar Lions are 3rd on 16 (in the top four).
Form guide
Mgarr United – form over the last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Fgura United 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.
Naxxar Lions – form over the last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Gudja United 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Mgarr United 1.0 – 2.0 Naxxar Lions in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Mgarr United 19% · draw 19% · Naxxar Lions 62%.
Safer play: Naxxar Lions or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Naxxar Lions to win, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.72, above our fair price of 1.61, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Mgarr United 0–1 Naxxar Lions. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Mgarr United19%fair 5.36 · @3.94
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.48
Naxxar Lions62%fair 1.61 · @1.72
2.95Expected goals
0.96Mgarr United xG
1.99Naxxar Lions xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mgarr United 1.0 – 2.0 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✓
62%
1.61
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Naxxar Lions or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Naxxar Lions (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Naxxar Lions -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
First team to score
Naxxar Lions to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Naxxar Lions ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Mgarr United – last 6
DLWWWL
1 Nov
@ Fgura United
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Zurrieq
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ St. Andrews
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Vittoriosa Stars
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Melita
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Tarxien Rainbows
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
WDWWWL
1 Nov
vs Gudja United
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Santa Lucía
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Victoria Hotspurs
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Sirens
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Zebbug Rangers
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Pietà Hotspurs
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mgarr United and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Naxxar Lions to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.
Who will win Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Mgarr United have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Naxxar Lions 62%.
How many goals will there be in Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Mgarr United 0–1 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
