GOR Mahia 58%Draw 21%Nairobi United 21%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.82
68%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✗58% · @1.79
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
FKF Premier League action on Sunday 8 November: GOR Mahia take on Nairobi United from 14:15 WAT. GOR Mahia sit 1st with 13 points from 6 games (top of the table), while Nairobi United are 15th on 5 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
GOR Mahia – form over the last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Homeboyz 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.
Nairobi United – form over the last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Murang'a SEAL 2–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished GOR Mahia 0–1 Nairobi United.
Goals outlook
Our model projects GOR Mahia 1.6 – 0.8 Nairobi United in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 43% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: GOR Mahia 58% · draw 21% · Nairobi United 21%.
Safer play: GOR Mahia or draw (79%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.01.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.01 – we make it 54%, the price implies 50%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
GOR Mahia58%fair 1.73 · @1.79
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.05
Nairobi United21%fair 4.76 · @4.25
2.42Expected goals
1.60GOR Mahia xG
0.82Nairobi United xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.6 – 0.8 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nairobi United 21%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
