Wed 11 Nov

Erbil v Gharraf: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq · Franso Hariri Stadium

Erbil

WDLLL
1–1
FT

Gharraf

WDWDL
Erbil 68%Draw 19%Gharraf 13% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.53
77%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultErbil to win ✗68% · @1.53
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51

Erbil vs Gharraf prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Erbil host Gharraf in the Iraqi League on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT at Franso Hariri Stadium. Erbil sit 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Gharraf are 13th on 14 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Erbil – form over the last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Kazma 6–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Gharraf – form over the last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Al Karkh 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Gharraf 0–0 Erbil.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Erbil 1.7 – 0.5 Gharraf in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 43% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Erbil 68% · draw 19% · Gharraf 13%.
  • Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.72.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Erbil 1–0 Gharraf. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Erbil68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.55
Gharraf13%fair 7.77 · @5.75
2.24Expected goals
1.71Erbil xG
0.53Gharraf xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Erbil 1.7 – 0.5 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultErbil to win ✗68%1.471.53
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.72
Draw no betErbil (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapErbil -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.23
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.08
First team to scoreErbil to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultErbil ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Erbil / FT Erbil ✗41%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.51–

Recent results

Erbil – last 6

WDLLLD
4 Novvs Kazma6–0W
31 Octvs Ghaz Al Shamal1–1D
22 Oct@ Zakho1–2L
17 Octvs Mosul0–1L
14 Oct@ Ajman4–5L
8 Oct@ Naft Maysan1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gharraf – last 6

WDWDLL
31 Oct@ Al Karkh2–1W
22 Octvs Naft0–0D
16 Oct@ Karbala2–1W
9 Octvs Al-Jolan SC0–0D
17 Sep@ Al Zawra'a0–2L
12 Sep@ Diyala1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Gharraf v Erbil0–0
Erbil vs Gharraf head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Erbil vs Gharraf?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Erbil vs Gharraf?

On our numbers Erbil have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gharraf 13%.

How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Gharraf?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Gharraf?

Our predicted score is Erbil 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Erbil vs Gharraf?

Erbil vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.