Value bet: Aranova to win @ 3.60 – our chance 41% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +46%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGelbison to win42% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 10.39
Gelbison vs Aranova prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie D Girone G action on Sunday 15 November: Gelbison take on Aranova from 14:30 WAT. Gelbison sit 16th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Aranova are 9th on 15 (in the top half).
Form guide
Gelbison – form over the last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Anzio 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Aranova – form over the last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Venafro 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.8 per game.
On form, Aranova have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Gelbison 1.3 – 1.3 Aranova in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Gelbison 42% · draw 18% · Aranova 41%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.82.
Value angle: Aranova to win at 3.60 – we make it 41%, the price implies 28%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Under 2.5 goals, rated at 53% confidence at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Gelbison 1–1 Aranova. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Gelbison42%fair 2.40 · @1.90
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @3.25
Aranova41%fair 2.46 · @3.60
2.62Expected goals
1.32Gelbison xG
1.30Aranova xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gelbison 1.3 – 1.3 Aranova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gelbison to win
42%
2.40
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.21
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.82
Draw no bet
Gelbison (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Aranova +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Gelbison to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gelbison / FT Gelbison
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Gelbison – last 6
LDLLWL
8 Nov
@ Anzio
0–2
L
1 Nov
vs Atletico Lodigiani
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs Igea Virtus
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Sarrabus Ogliastra
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Ossese
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Città di Anagni
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aranova – last 6
LLWWWL
8 Nov
vs Venafro
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Afragolese
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs Sarnese
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Unipomezia
4–3
W
11 Oct
vs Trastevere
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gelbison and Aranova.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gelbison vs Aranova?
On our numbers Gelbison have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aranova 41%.
How many goals will there be in Gelbison vs Aranova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gelbison vs Aranova?
Our predicted score is Gelbison 1–1 Aranova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gelbison vs Aranova?
Gelbison vs Aranova (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
