Value bet: Nocerina to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFidelis Andria to win52% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–04% · fair 22.47
Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Fidelis Andria v Nocerina in the Serie D Girone H – Sunday 15 November, 15:30 WAT. Fidelis Andria sit 8th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Nocerina are 12th on 13 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fidelis Andria – form over the last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Ebolitana 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Nocerina – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Real Forio 2014 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
On form, Fidelis Andria have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Fidelis Andria 1.6 – 1.1 Nocerina in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Fidelis Andria 52% · draw 18% · Nocerina 30%.
Value angle: Nocerina to win at 3.80 – we make it 30%, the price implies 26%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Fidelis Andria to win, rated at 52% confidence at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Fidelis Andria 1–0 Nocerina. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Fidelis Andria52%fair 1.93 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @3.25
Nocerina30%fair 3.28 · @3.80
2.68Expected goals
1.57Fidelis Andria xG
1.11Nocerina xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fidelis Andria 1.6 – 1.1 Nocerina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fidelis Andria to win
52%
1.93
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.21
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Fidelis Andria (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Nocerina +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
2.00
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Fidelis Andria to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fidelis Andria / FT Fidelis Andria
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
4%
22.47
–
Recent results
Fidelis Andria – last 6
DWLWWW
8 Nov
@ Ebolitana
0–0
D
1 Nov
vs Francavilla
2–0
W
28 Oct
vs Virtus Francavilla
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Nardò
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Virtus Francavilla
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Real Normanna
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nocerina – last 6
LLLLLD
8 Nov
vs Real Forio 2014
1–2
L
1 Nov
@ Gravina
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Gladiator
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Martina Franca
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Brindisi
0–1
L
7 Oct
vs Turris
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fidelis Andria and Nocerina.
What is the prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
Our pick is Fidelis Andria to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
On our numbers Fidelis Andria have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nocerina 30%.
How many goals will there be in Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
Our predicted score is Fidelis Andria 1–0 Nocerina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
