Wed 11 Nov

Francavilla v Virtus Francavilla: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT
Francavilla 17%Draw 20%Virtus Francavilla 63% Expected goals 0.74 – 1.74
63%
ZoraTips pick

Virtus Francavilla to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.78 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.78Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓63% · @1.78
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Francavilla host Virtus Francavilla in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT. Francavilla sit 17th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Virtus Francavilla are 1st on 27 (top of the table). A 19-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Francavilla – form over the last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Fidelis Andria 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Virtus Francavilla – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Turris 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Virtus Francavilla have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Virtus Francavilla 0–3 Francavilla.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Francavilla 0.7 – 1.7 Virtus Francavilla in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Francavilla 17% · draw 20% · Virtus Francavilla 63%.
  • Safer play: Virtus Francavilla or draw (83%) at 1.19.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.86.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Virtus Francavilla to win, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.78, above our fair price of 1.59, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Francavilla 0–1 Virtus Francavilla. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Francavilla17%fair 5.88 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.25
Virtus Francavilla63%fair 1.59 · @1.78
2.47Expected goals
0.74Francavilla xG
1.74Virtus Francavilla xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Francavilla 0.7 – 1.7 Virtus Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓63%1.591.78 ▲
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓83%1.201.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.86
Draw no betVirtus Francavilla (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapVirtus Francavilla -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreVirtus Francavilla to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultVirtus Francavilla ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Francavilla – last 6

LWDDLL
1 Nov@ Fidelis Andria0–2L
25 Octvs Real Forio 20142–1W
18 Oct@ Gravina1–1D
11 Octvs Gladiator1–1D
4 Oct@ Martina Franca0–1L
27 Sepvs Brindisi0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Virtus Francavilla – last 6

WWWLWW
1 Nov@ Turris2–1W
28 Oct@ Fidelis Andria1–0W
25 Octvs Manfredonia2–0W
18 Oct@ Fidelis Andria1–2L
11 Octvs Real Forio 20142–0W
7 Octvs Gravina3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Virtus Francavilla v Francavilla0–3
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Virtus Francavilla11902+927
2Martina Franca11713+922
3Brindisi11704+621
4Gravina11551+720
5Turris11542+519
6Manfredonia11533+418
7Gladiator11533+118
8Fidelis Andria11524+117
9Bisceglie11506015
10USD Palmese11425-114
11Real Normanna11353-114
12Nocerina11416-213
13Real Forio 201411326-311
14Melfi11326-811
15Ebolitana11245-810
16Ischia11236-49
17Francavilla11227-68
18Nardò11236-97

More Serie D Girone H predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.78.

Who will win Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

On our numbers Francavilla have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Virtus Francavilla 63%.

How many goals will there be in Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Our predicted score is Francavilla 0–1 Virtus Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.