Value bet: Gela to win @ 2.22 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGela to win50% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.65
Vigor Lamezia vs Gela prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Vigor Lamezia host Gela in the Serie D Girone I on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT. Vigor Lamezia sit 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Gela are 8th on 15 (in the top half).
Form guide
Vigor Lamezia – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Milazzo 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.7 per game.
Gela – form over the last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Calcio Avola 2–1 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Gela have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Vigor Lamezia 1.1 – 1.4 Gela in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Vigor Lamezia 33% · draw 18% · Gela 50%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Gela to win at 2.22 – we make it 50%, the price implies 45%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Not both teams to score, rated at 50% confidence at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.99, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Vigor Lamezia 0–1 Gela. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Vigor Lamezia33%fair 3.07 · @2.82
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @3.25
Gela50%fair 2.01 · @2.22
2.53Expected goals
1.08Vigor Lamezia xG
1.45Gela xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vigor Lamezia 1.1 – 1.4 Gela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gela to win
50%
2.01
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.21
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.05
Draw no bet
Gela (draw no bet)
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Vigor Lamezia +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Gela to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gela / FT Gela
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.65
–
Recent results
Vigor Lamezia – last 6
LLLWLD
8 Nov
@ Milazzo
1–3
L
1 Nov
vs AC Palermo
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Digiesse PraiaTortora
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Enna
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Siracusa
0–3
L
7 Oct
vs Gelbison
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gela – last 6
WWWDDD
8 Nov
vs Calcio Avola
2–1
W
1 Nov
@ Modica
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Licata
4–0
W
18 Oct
@ Vibonese
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Milazzo
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs AC Palermo
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Lamezia and Gela.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs Gela?
On our numbers Vigor Lamezia have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gela 50%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Lamezia vs Gela?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Lamezia vs Gela?
Our predicted score is Vigor Lamezia 0–1 Gela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vigor Lamezia vs Gela?
Vigor Lamezia vs Gela (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
