Thu 12 Nov

Real Calepina v Chievo: numbers & prediction

0–4
FT

Chievo

WWLDL
Real Calepina 19%Draw 25%Chievo 55% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.85
81%
ZoraTips pick

Chievo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Chievo to win @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChievo to win ✓55% · @1.93
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Real Calepina vs Chievo prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Real Calepina v Chievo in the Serie D Girone B – Sunday 8 November, 14:30 WAT. Real Calepina sit 11th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Chievo are 1st on 25 (top of the table). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Real Calepina – form over the last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Chievo – form over the last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Fiorenzuola 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Real Calepina 1–0 Chievo.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Real Calepina 1.0 – 1.9 Chievo in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Real Calepina 19% · draw 25% · Chievo 55%.
  • Safer play: Chievo or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.72.
  • Value angle: Chievo to win at 1.93 – we make it 55%, the price implies 52%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Chievo or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Real Calepina 1–1 Chievo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Real Calepina19%fair 5.17 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Chievo55%fair 1.81 · @1.93
2.88Expected goals
1.03Real Calepina xG
1.85Chievo xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Real Calepina 1.0 – 1.9 Chievo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChievo to win ✓55%1.811.93 ▲
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.72
Draw no betChievo (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapReal Calepina +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreChievo to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultChievo ahead at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chievo / FT Chievo ✓35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Real Calepina – last 6

DDWLLW
1 Nov@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1D
25 Octvs Pavonese1–1D
18 Oct@ Club Milano2–1W
11 Octvs Villa Valle0–3L
7 Octvs Leon0–2L
4 Oct@ Rovato Vertovese1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chievo – last 6

WWLDLW
31 Octvs Fiorenzuola2–1W
25 Oct@ Leon4–0W
18 Octvs Milan II1–2L
11 Oct@ Virtus Verona1–1D
7 Oct@ Brusaporto1–2L
4 Octvs Tritium5–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Real Calepina v Chievo1–0
Real Calepina vs Chievo head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Calepina vs Chievo?

Our pick is Chievo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Real Calepina vs Chievo?

On our numbers Real Calepina have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chievo 55%.

How many goals will there be in Real Calepina vs Chievo?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Calepina vs Chievo?

Our predicted score is Real Calepina 1–1 Chievo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Real Calepina vs Chievo?

Real Calepina vs Chievo (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.