Thu 12 Nov

Alessandria v Celle Varazze: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta
1–0
FT
Alessandria 72%Draw 20%Celle Varazze 8% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.64
72%
ZoraTips pick

Alessandria to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlessandria to win ✓72% · @1.33
Double chanceAlessandria or draw ✓92% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.76

Alessandria vs Celle Varazze prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Serie D Girone A action on Sunday 8 November: Alessandria take on Celle Varazze at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta from 14:30 WAT. Alessandria sit 1st with 30 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Celle Varazze are 18th on 4 (in the bottom three). A 26-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Alessandria – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Borgosesia 3–1 on the road. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Celle Varazze – form over the last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Valenzana 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Alessandria have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Alessandria 2.2 – 0.6 Celle Varazze in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Alessandria 72% · draw 20% · Celle Varazze 8%.
  • Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.65.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Alessandria to win, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Alessandria 2–0 Celle Varazze. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Alessandria72%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.50
Celle Varazze8%fair 11.80 · @7.40
2.81Expected goals
2.17Alessandria xG
0.64Celle Varazze xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Alessandria 2.2 – 0.6 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlessandria to win ✓72%1.401.33
Double chanceAlessandria or draw ✓92%1.091.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.65
Draw no betAlessandria (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapAlessandria -1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreAlessandria to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultAlessandria ahead at half-time ✗52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alessandria / FT Alessandria ✗48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.76–

Recent results

Alessandria – last 6

WWWWLW
1 Nov@ Borgosesia3–1W
25 Octvs Biellese2–0W
18 Oct@ Lascaris2–1W
11 Octvs Fezzanese2–0W
7 Oct@ Biellese2–3L
4 Oct@ Derthona3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Celle Varazze – last 6

WLLDLL
1 Novvs Valenzana2–1W
25 Oct@ Imperia0–2L
18 Octvs Gozzano1–2L
11 Oct@ Sestri Levante1–1D
7 Oct@ Bra0–2L
4 Octvs Chisola0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Celle Varazze.

Alessandria vs Celle Varazze head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

Our pick is Alessandria to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

On our numbers Alessandria have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celle Varazze 8%.

How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

Our predicted score is Alessandria 2–0 Celle Varazze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

Alessandria vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.