Middlesbrough U21 v Derby County U21: numbers & prediction

Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Middlesbrough U21 host Derby County U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One on Monday 9 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Heritage Park. Middlesbrough U21 sit 29th with 3 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Derby County U21 are 18th on 8 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Middlesbrough U21 – form over the last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Valencia U21 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 2.3 per game.

Derby County U21 – form over the last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Wealdstone 2–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Derby County U21 1–0 Middlesbrough U21.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Middlesbrough U21 2.6 – 1.6 Derby County U21 in expected goals – roughly 4.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 75% for over 2.5 goals, 70% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Middlesbrough U21 60% · draw 16% · Derby County U21 24%.
• Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.28.
• Value angle: Middlesbrough U21 to win at 1.78 – we make it 60%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Middlesbrough U21 2–1 Derby County U21. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.