Value bet: Mpam to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMpam to win42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.42
Mpam vs Iraklis Therm. prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Mpam host Iraklis Therm. in the Gamma Ethniki Group 2 on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT.
Form guide
Mpam – form over the last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Finikas Polichnis 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Iraklis Therm. – form over the last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Poseidon Nea Michaniona 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 6 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Iraklis Therm. have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Mpam 1.2 – 1.1 Iraklis Therm. in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Mpam 42% · draw 22% · Iraklis Therm. 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.84.
Value angle: Mpam to win at 2.60 – we make it 42%, the price implies 38%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 58% confidence at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Mpam 1–1 Iraklis Therm.. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Mpam42%fair 2.38 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Iraklis Therm.36%fair 2.81 · @2.45
2.31Expected goals
1.22Mpam xG
1.09Iraklis Therm. xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mpam 1.2 – 1.1 Iraklis Therm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mpam to win
42%
2.38
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.84
Draw no bet
Mpam (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Iraklis Therm. +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Mpam to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mpam / FT Mpam
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
Mpam – last 6
DLDDWW
7 Nov
@ Finikas Polichnis
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Poseidon Nea Michaniona
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Makedonikos Neapolis
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Kilkisiakos
4–4
D
11 Oct
vs Akrites Sykeon
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs PAO Kristoni
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Iraklis Therm. – last 6
WDDWDW
8 Nov
vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona
1–0
W
1 Nov
@ Makedonikos Neapolis
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Kilkisiakos
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Akrites Sykeon
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ PAO Kristoni
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Panedessaikos
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mpam and Iraklis Therm..
What is the prediction for Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
On our numbers Mpam have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Iraklis Therm. 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
Our predicted score is Mpam 1–1 Iraklis Therm., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
Mpam vs Iraklis Therm. (Gamma Ethniki Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
