Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.88 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKavala to win ✓52% · @1.77
Double chanceKavala or draw ✓76% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Kavala vs Aetos Orfani prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Kavala v Aetos Orfani in the Gamma Ethniki Group 1 – Sunday 15 November, 14:00 WAT. Kavala sit 5th with 7 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Aetos Orfani are 3rd on 7 (in the top four). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Kavala – form over the last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Doxa Dramas 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.
Aetos Orfani – form over the last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Thrakis 4–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Kavala 1.7 – 1.3 Aetos Orfani in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Kavala 52% · draw 24% · Aetos Orfani 24%.
Safer play: Kavala or draw (76%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.88 – we make it 60%, the price implies 53%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Kavala 1–1 Aetos Orfani. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Kavala52%fair 1.94 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.38
Aetos Orfani24%fair 4.15 · @3.82
3.00Expected goals
1.72Kavala xG
1.28Aetos Orfani xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kavala 1.7 – 1.3 Aetos Orfani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Kavala
Aetos Orfani
Attack vs Gamma Ethniki Group 1 average
-23%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+25%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.52
Our own ratings from every Gamma Ethniki Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kavala to win✓
52%
1.94
1.77
Double chance
Kavala or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.88 ▲
Draw no bet
Kavala (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Aetos Orfani +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.04
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Kavala to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kavala / FT Kavala✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Kavala – last 6
LDLWWD
8 Nov
vs Doxa Dramas
0–3
L
31 Oct
@ Doxa Neo Sidirochori
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Eleftheroupolis
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Apollon Paralimniou
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Thrakis
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aetos Orfani – last 6
WLWDLL
8 Nov
vs Thrakis
4–2
W
31 Oct
@ Doxa Dramas
1–5
L
25 Oct
vs MAS Ardas Kastanion
4–1
W
18 Oct
@ Doxa Neo Sidirochori
3–3
D
10 Oct
vs Xanthi FC
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Poseidon Nea Michaniona
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kavala and Aetos Orfani.
What is the prediction for Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
On our numbers Kavala have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aetos Orfani 24%.
How many goals will there be in Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
Our predicted score is Kavala 1–1 Aetos Orfani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
Kavala vs Aetos Orfani (Gamma Ethniki Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
