Sat 14 Nov

Hollandia v Hoogeveen: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Hollandia 42%Draw 15%Hoogeveen 42% Expected goals 2.07 – 2.07
76%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21

8/10Rating
1.21Odds
2

Value bet: Hoogeveen to win @ 2.51 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultHoogeveen to win42% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.23
GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 14.13

Hollandia vs Hoogeveen prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Derde Divisie Saturday action on Sunday 15 November: Hollandia take on Hoogeveen from 14:00 WAT. Hollandia sit 16th with 8 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Hoogeveen are 12th on 14 (in the top half).

Form guide

Hollandia – form over the last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Purmersteijn 1–4 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.2 per game.

Hoogeveen – form over the last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with TEC 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Hollandia 2.1 – 2.1 Hoogeveen in expected goals – roughly 4.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Hollandia 42% · draw 15% · Hoogeveen 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.23.
  • Value angle: Hoogeveen to win at 2.51 – we make it 42%, the price implies 40%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Hollandia 2–2 Hoogeveen. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Hollandia42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @4.05
Hoogeveen42%fair 2.36 · @2.51
4.14Expected goals
2.07Hollandia xG
2.07Hoogeveen xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–27%
2–17%
1–17%
2–35%
3–25%

From our goals model: Hollandia 2.1 – 2.1 Hoogeveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHoogeveen to win42%2.362.51 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win85%1.181.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.561.23
Draw no betHoogeveen (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapHollandia +0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals76%1.311.21
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals58%1.731.63
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals61%1.641.46
First team to scoreHoogeveen to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultHoogeveen ahead at half-time34%2.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hoogeveen / FT Hoogeveen25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27%14.13–

Recent results

Hollandia – last 6

LWDWLL
8 Nov@ Purmersteijn1–4L
31 Oct@ Eemdijk1–0W
25 Octvs VV Scherpenzeel2–2D
17 Oct@ SVZW1–0W
10 Octvs Staphorst2–4L
27 Sepvs Hercules0–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hoogeveen – last 6

DLLLWW
8 Novvs TEC2–2D
24 Oct@ Sparta Nijkerk0–2L
17 Octvs ACV1–4L
10 Oct@ Harkemase Boys1–2L
3 Octvs SC Genemuiden5–3W
27 Sep@ ADO '205–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hollandia and Hoogeveen.

Hollandia vs Hoogeveen head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

On our numbers Hollandia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hoogeveen 42%.

How many goals will there be in Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Our predicted score is Hollandia 2–2 Hoogeveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Hollandia vs Hoogeveen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.