Calasancio vs Cenicero prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Calasancio host Cenicero in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 16:30 WAT. Calasancio sit 13th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Cenicero are 16th on 6 (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Calasancio – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat River Ebro 3–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.3 per game.
Cenicero – form over the last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Agoncillo 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
On form, Calasancio have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Calasancio 1.8 – 1.1 Cenicero in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Calasancio 55% · draw 24% · Cenicero 21%.
Safer play: Calasancio or draw (79%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.74.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Calasancio 1–1 Cenicero. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Calasancio55%fair 1.80 · @1.87
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.24
Cenicero21%fair 4.85 · @3.58
2.86Expected goals
1.80Calasancio xG
1.06Cenicero xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: Calasancio 1.8 – 1.1 Cenicero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Calasancio
Cenicero
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 16 average
-11%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+20%
Our expected goals here
1.83
1.14
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 16 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Calasancio to win✗
55%
1.80
1.87
Double chance
Calasancio or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.74
Draw no bet
Calasancio (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Cenicero +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Calasancio to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Calasancio ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calasancio / FT Calasancio✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Calasancio – last 6
WLWLLW
8 Nov
@ River Ebro
3–1
W
31 Oct
vs Berceo
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Comillas
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Varea
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Vianés
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Casalarreina
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cenicero – last 6
DLLLLL
8 Nov
vs Agoncillo
2–2
D
1 Nov
@ Oyonesa
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs La Calzada
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Pradejón
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs San Marcial
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Yagüe
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calasancio and Cenicero.
What is the prediction for Calasancio vs Cenicero?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Calasancio vs Cenicero?
On our numbers Calasancio have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cenicero 21%.
How many goals will there be in Calasancio vs Cenicero?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calasancio vs Cenicero?
Our predicted score is Calasancio 1–1 Cenicero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Calasancio vs Cenicero?
Calasancio vs Cenicero (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
