Guadiana v Gévora: numbers & prediction

Guadiana vs Gévora prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Guadiana v Gévora in the Tercera División RFEF Group 14 – Sunday 15 November, 16:30 WAT. Guadiana sit 18th with 1 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Gévora are 13th on 12 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Guadiana – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Santa Amalia 0–4 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.2 per game.

Gévora – form over the last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Azuaga 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Gévora have the edge: 0.8 points a game against 0.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Guadiana 1.0 – 1.9 Gévora in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Guadiana 22% · draw 22% · Gévora 55%.
• Safer play: Gévora or draw (78%) at 1.23.
• Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
• Value angle: Gévora to win at 1.97 – we make it 55%, the price implies 51%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Gévora or draw, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Guadiana 1–1 Gévora. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.