Santa Amalia 64%Draw 22%Guadiana 14%Expected goals 2.07 – 0.89
61%
ZoraTips pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.58 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.58Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Amalia to win ✓64% · @1.31
Double chanceSanta Amalia or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Santa Amalia vs Guadiana prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Tercera División RFEF Group 14 action on Sunday 8 November: Santa Amalia take on Guadiana from 16:30 WAT. Santa Amalia sit 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Guadiana are 18th on 1 (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Santa Amalia – form over the last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Azuaga 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Guadiana – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to CD Zafra 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.
On form, Santa Amalia have the edge: 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Santa Amalia 2.1 – 0.9 Guadiana in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 55% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Santa Amalia 64% · draw 22% · Guadiana 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – we make it 55%, the price implies 51%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.58. Predicted score: Santa Amalia 2–0 Guadiana. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Santa Amalia64%fair 1.57 · @1.31
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @5.20
Guadiana14%fair 6.97 · @6.00
2.96Expected goals
2.07Santa Amalia xG
0.89Guadiana xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Santa Amalia 2.1 – 0.9 Guadiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Amalia to win✓
64%
1.57
1.31
Double chance
Santa Amalia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Amalia (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Santa Amalia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.58
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.23
First team to score
Santa Amalia to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Santa Amalia ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Amalia / FT Santa Amalia✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Santa Amalia – last 6
DDLDLD
1 Nov
@ Azuaga
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Cabeza Buey
3–3
D
21 Oct
@ Llerenense
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Montijo
0–0
D
9 Oct
vs Villafranca
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Moralo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadiana – last 6
LLLLLD
1 Nov
vs CD Zafra
0–4
L
25 Oct
@ Jaraíz
0–4
L
18 Oct
vs Villanovense
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Jerez
1–4
L
4 Oct
@ Azuaga
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Cabeza Buey
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Amalia and Guadiana.
What is the prediction for Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
On our numbers Santa Amalia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guadiana 14%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Our predicted score is Santa Amalia 2–0 Guadiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Santa Amalia vs Guadiana (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
