Fri 13 Nov

Águilas II v Santomera: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026
Águilas II 35%Draw 22%Santomera 43% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.38
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Águilas II to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSantomera to win43% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.58

Águilas II vs Santomera prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Tercera División RFEF Group 13 action on Saturday 14 November: Águilas II take on Santomera from 20:00 WAT. Águilas II sit 3rd with 17 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Santomera are 1st on 25 (top of the table).

Form guide

Águilas II – form over the last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Bullas Deportivo 3–0 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Santomera – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Mazarrón FC 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.7 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Santomera have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 2.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Águilas II 1.2 – 1.4 Santomera in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Águilas II 35% · draw 22% · Santomera 43%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.78.
  • Value angle: Águilas II to win at 3.15 – we make it 35%, the price implies 32%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Águilas II 1–1 Santomera. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Águilas II35%fair 2.83 · @3.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Santomera43%fair 2.34 · @2.03
2.61Expected goals
1.23Águilas II xG
1.38Santomera xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Águilas II 1.2 – 1.4 Santomera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantomera to win43%2.342.03
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.721.78
Draw no betSantomera (draw no bet)55%1.83–
Asian handicapÁguilas II +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.361.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.14–
First team to scoreSantomera to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santomera / FT Santomera24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.58–

Recent results

Águilas II – last 6

WWWWDD
8 Nov@ Bullas Deportivo3–0W
1 Novvs Algar2–0W
24 Oct@ Los Garres2–1W
11 Oct@ SFC Minerva2–0W
4 Octvs Unión Molinense1–1D
26 Sep@ Santa Cruz1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Santomera – last 6

WWWWWW
8 Novvs Mazarrón FC1–0W
1 Nov@ Olímpico Totana3–1W
25 Octvs San Javier4–0W
10 Octvs Balsicas Atlético3–0W
4 Oct@ Atlético Pulpileño3–2W
27 Sep@ Bullas Deportivo2–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Águilas II and Santomera.

Águilas II vs Santomera head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 13 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Santomera9810+1525
2Santa Cruz9531+618
3Águilas II9450+817
4San Javier9441+216
5UCAM Murcia II9432+815
6Unión Molinense9432+515
7Los Garres9423+314
8Bala Azul9342+213
9Balsicas Atlético9414-313
10Alcantarilla9333+312
11Olímpico Totana9324-111
12Atlético Pulpileño9324-111
13Cotillas CD9315-310
14Cartagena LU II9234-39
15SFC Minerva9225-78
16Algar9207-176
17Bullas Deportivo9126-115
18Mazarrón FC9117-64

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águilas II vs Santomera?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Águilas II vs Santomera?

On our numbers Águilas II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santomera 43%.

How many goals will there be in Águilas II vs Santomera?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águilas II vs Santomera?

Our predicted score is Águilas II 1–1 Santomera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Águilas II vs Santomera?

Águilas II vs Santomera (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.