Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Conil vs Xerez Deportivo prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Tercera División RFEF Group 10 action on Sunday 15 November: Conil take on Xerez Deportivo from 17:00 WAT. Conil sit 12th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Xerez Deportivo are 4th on 18 (in the top four).
Form guide
Conil – form over the last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Betis C 3–4 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Xerez Deportivo – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Dos Hermanas 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.
On form, Xerez Deportivo have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Conil 1.1 – 1.4 Xerez Deportivo in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Conil 29% · draw 24% · Xerez Deportivo 47%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.81.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Conil 1–1 Xerez Deportivo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Conil29%fair 3.44 · @3.32
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.10
Xerez Deportivo47%fair 2.12 · @2.01
2.47Expected goals
1.09Conil xG
1.38Xerez Deportivo xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Conil 1.1 – 1.4 Xerez Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Conil
Xerez Deportivo
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 10 average
-16%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.31
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 10 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xerez Deportivo to win✗
47%
2.12
2.01
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.26
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.81
Draw no bet
Xerez Deportivo (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Conil +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Xerez Deportivo to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xerez Deportivo / FT Xerez Deportivo✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.53
–
Recent results
Conil – last 6
LDDWLW
8 Nov
@ Betis C
3–4
L
1 Nov
vs Bollullos
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ Sevilla III
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Portuense
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Ceuta II
0–3
L
4 Oct
vs Córdoba II
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Xerez Deportivo – last 6
DWWWDD
8 Nov
vs Dos Hermanas
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Tomares
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Chiclana
3–2
W
18 Oct
@ Egabrense
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs San Roque Lepe
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conil and Xerez Deportivo.
What is the prediction for Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
On our numbers Conil have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Xerez Deportivo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
Our predicted score is Conil 1–1 Xerez Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
Conil vs Xerez Deportivo (Tercera División RFEF Group 10) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
