Almería II 40%Draw 17%Melilla 43%Expected goals 1.22 – 1.27
73%
ZoraTips pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Melilla to win @ 2.84 – our chance 43% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMelilla to win43% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.26
Almería II vs Melilla prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Almería II host Melilla in the Tercera División RFEF Group 9 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. Almería II sit 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Melilla are 1st on 23 (top of the table).
Form guide
Almería II – form over the last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Motril 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Melilla – form over the last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Granada II 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Almería II 1.2 – 1.3 Melilla in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Almería II 40% · draw 17% · Melilla 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.64.
Value angle: Melilla to win at 2.84 – we make it 43%, the price implies 35%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Almería II 1–1 Melilla. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Almería II40%fair 2.50 · @2.14
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @3.30
Melilla43%fair 2.35 · @2.84
2.49Expected goals
1.22Almería II xG
1.27Melilla xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Almería II 1.2 – 1.3 Melilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melilla to win
43%
2.35
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.64
Draw no bet
Melilla (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Almería II +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Melilla to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melilla / FT Melilla
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Almería II – last 6
DDDWWD
8 Nov
@ Motril
0–0
D
1 Nov
vs Churriana Vega
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Atletico de Marbella
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Granada II
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Málaga II
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Cantoria
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Melilla – last 6
DDWLWW
8 Nov
vs Granada II
0–0
D
31 Oct
@ Málaga II
2–2
D
24 Oct
vs Cantoria
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Atlético Porcuna
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs UD San Pedro
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Alhaurino
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almería II and Melilla.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Almería II vs Melilla?
On our numbers Almería II have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Melilla 43%.
How many goals will there be in Almería II vs Melilla?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almería II vs Melilla?
Our predicted score is Almería II 1–1 Melilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Almería II vs Melilla?
Almería II vs Melilla (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
