Móstoles vs Trival Valderas prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Tercera División RFEF Group 7 action on Sunday 15 November: Móstoles take on Trival Valderas from 11:45 WAT. Móstoles sit 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Trival Valderas are 8th on 15 (in the top half).
Form guide
Móstoles – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Parla Escuela 3–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 3.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Trival Valderas – form over the last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Leganes 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.
On form, Móstoles have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Trival Valderas 1–0 Móstoles.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Móstoles 2.0 – 0.9 Trival Valderas in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Móstoles 63% · draw 22% · Trival Valderas 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.71.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Móstoles to win, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Móstoles 1–0 Trival Valderas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Móstoles63%fair 1.60 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.62
Trival Valderas16%fair 6.39 · @4.55
2.84Expected goals
1.97Móstoles xG
0.88Trival Valderas xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Móstoles 2.0 – 0.9 Trival Valderas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
Our pick is Móstoles to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
On our numbers Móstoles have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trival Valderas 16%.
How many goals will there be in Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
Our predicted score is Móstoles 1–0 Trival Valderas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?
Móstoles vs Trival Valderas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.