Sat 14 Nov

Móstoles v Trival Valderas: numbers & prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026
Móstoles 63%Draw 22%Trival Valderas 16% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.88
63%
ZoraTips pick

Móstoles to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultMóstoles to win63% · @1.60
Double chanceMóstoles or draw84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.13

Móstoles vs Trival Valderas prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 action on Sunday 15 November: Móstoles take on Trival Valderas from 11:45 WAT. Móstoles sit 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Trival Valderas are 8th on 15 (in the top half).

Form guide

Móstoles – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Parla Escuela 3–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 3.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Trival Valderas – form over the last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Leganes 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Móstoles have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Trival Valderas 1–0 Móstoles.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Móstoles 2.0 – 0.9 Trival Valderas in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Móstoles 63% · draw 22% · Trival Valderas 16%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.71.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Móstoles to win, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Móstoles 1–0 Trival Valderas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Móstoles63%fair 1.60 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.62
Trival Valderas16%fair 6.39 · @4.55
2.84Expected goals
1.97Móstoles xG
0.88Trival Valderas xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Móstoles 2.0 – 0.9 Trival Valderas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMóstoles to win63%1.601.60
Double chanceMóstoles or draw84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.71
Draw no betMóstoles (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapMóstoles -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.301.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals54%1.871.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals68%1.471.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.201.09
First team to scoreMóstoles to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultMóstoles ahead at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Móstoles / FT Móstoles40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.13–

Recent results

Móstoles – last 6

WWWWLD
8 Nov@ Parla Escuela3–1W
1 Novvs RC Alcobendas5–1W
25 Oct@ Villanueva Pardillo6–1W
18 Octvs Galapagar3–0W
11 Oct@ Unión Adarve1–2L
4 Octvs Leganés II1–1D
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Trival Valderas – last 6

LDDDDL
10 Novvs Leganes0–1L
8 Nov@ RC Alcobendas1–1D
1 Novvs Galapagar2–2D
25 Oct@ Leganés II2–2D
18 Octvs Cala Pozuelo2–2D
11 Oct@ Rayo Vallecano II0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Trival Valderas v Móstoles1–0
Móstoles vs Trival Valderas head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Móstoles10721+1723
2Colonia Moscardó10460+1018
3Las Rozas10532+518
4Galapagar10532+518
5Cala Pozuelo10523+217
6Unión Adarve10442+416
7Leganés II10433+715
8Trival Valderas10361+315
9Pozuelo Alarcón10433-315
10Torrejón10424+714
11Fuenlabrada10343+113
12Parla Escuela10244-410
13Real Aranjuez10244-610
14Rayo Vallecano II10235-59
15RC Alcobendas10235-79
16Alcobendas Sport10145-47
17SS Reyes II10217-137
18Villanueva Pardillo10217-197

More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?

Our pick is Móstoles to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?

On our numbers Móstoles have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trival Valderas 16%.

How many goals will there be in Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?

Our predicted score is Móstoles 1–0 Trival Valderas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?

Móstoles vs Trival Valderas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.