Value bet: Móstoles to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMóstoles to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceMóstoles or draw ✓81% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Parla Escuela vs Móstoles prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Parla Escuela host Móstoles in the Tercera División RFEF Group 7 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 18:00 WAT. Parla Escuela sit 12th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Móstoles are 1st on 23 (top of the table). A 13-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Parla Escuela – form over the last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Villanueva Pardillo 4–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.8 per game.
Móstoles – form over the last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat RC Alcobendas 5–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.8 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Móstoles have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Parla Escuela 1.0 – 1.9 Móstoles in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Parla Escuela 19% · draw 21% · Móstoles 60%.
Safer play: Móstoles or draw (81%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.69.
Value angle: Móstoles to win at 1.91 – we make it 60%, the price implies 52%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Parla Escuela 1–1 Móstoles. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Parla Escuela19%fair 5.32 · @3.68
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.18
Móstoles60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
2.90Expected goals
0.97Parla Escuela xG
1.93Móstoles xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Parla Escuela 1.0 – 1.9 Móstoles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Móstoles to win✓
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Móstoles or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.69
Draw no bet
Móstoles (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Parla Escuela +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.07
First team to score
Móstoles to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Móstoles ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Móstoles / FT Móstoles✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Parla Escuela – last 6
WDLDLD
1 Nov
@ Villanueva Pardillo
4–1
W
25 Oct
vs Unión Adarve
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Torrejón
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Fuenlabrada
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Alcobendas Sport
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Colonia Moscardó
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Móstoles – last 6
WWWLDW
1 Nov
vs RC Alcobendas
5–1
W
25 Oct
@ Villanueva Pardillo
6–1
W
18 Oct
vs Galapagar
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Unión Adarve
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Leganés II
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Torrejón
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parla Escuela and Móstoles.
What is the prediction for Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
On our numbers Parla Escuela have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Móstoles 60%.
How many goals will there be in Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Our predicted score is Parla Escuela 1–1 Móstoles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Parla Escuela vs Móstoles (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.