Value bet: Acero to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBuñol to win40% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 13.06
Buñol vs Acero prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Tercera División RFEF Group 6 action on Saturday 14 November: Buñol take on Acero from 17:00 WAT. Buñol sit 10th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Acero are 5th on 15 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Buñol – form over the last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Utiel 3–3 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.
Acero – form over the last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Vall de Uxó 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.8 per game.
On form, Acero have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Buñol 1.1 – 1.1 Acero in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Buñol 40% · draw 24% · Acero 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Acero to win at 2.95 – we make it 37%, the price implies 34%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Buñol 1–1 Acero. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Buñol40%fair 2.53 · @2.29
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.88
Acero37%fair 2.73 · @2.95
2.24Expected goals
1.15Buñol xG
1.09Acero xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Buñol 1.1 – 1.1 Acero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buñol to win
40%
2.53
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Buñol (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Acero +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.65
1.54
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Buñol to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buñol / FT Buñol
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
13.06
–
Recent results
Buñol – last 6
DWWLLL
8 Nov
@ Utiel
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs Vall de Uxó
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Crevillente
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Villarreal III
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Torrent
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Ontinyent 1931
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Acero – last 6
WDWDDD
8 Nov
@ Vall de Uxó
2–1
W
1 Nov
vs Hércules II
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ Torrent
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Eldense B
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Atzeneta
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Torrellano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buñol and Acero.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Buñol vs Acero?
On our numbers Buñol have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Acero 37%.
How many goals will there be in Buñol vs Acero?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buñol vs Acero?
Our predicted score is Buñol 1–1 Acero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Buñol vs Acero?
Buñol vs Acero (Tercera División RFEF Group 6) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
