Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Aretxabaleta host Aurrerá Vitoria in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:30 WAT. Aretxabaleta sit 7th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Aurrerá Vitoria are 2nd on 22 (in the top four).
Form guide
Aretxabaleta – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Amurrio Club 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.3 per game.
Aurrerá Vitoria – form over the last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Santurtzi 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Aretxabaleta 1.4 – 1.2 Aurrerá Vitoria in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Aretxabaleta 43% · draw 24% · Aurrerá Vitoria 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.76.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Aretxabaleta 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Aretxabaleta43%fair 2.31 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.93
Aurrerá Vitoria33%fair 3.02 · @2.95
2.58Expected goals
1.40Aretxabaleta xG
1.18Aurrerá Vitoria xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Aretxabaleta 1.4 – 1.2 Aurrerá Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aretxabaleta to win✗
43%
2.31
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.76
Draw no bet
Aretxabaleta (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Aurrerá Vitoria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Aretxabaleta to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aretxabaleta / FT Aretxabaleta✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Aretxabaleta – last 6
WLWWWL
1 Nov
@ Amurrio Club
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Eibar III
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ R. Union B
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Pasaia KE
4–2
W
3 Oct
@ Lagun Onak
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Derio
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aurrerá Vitoria – last 6
WLWLWW
31 Oct
vs Santurtzi
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ San Ignacio
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs Real Sociedad III
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Leioa
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Erandio
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sodupe
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aretxabaleta and Aurrerá Vitoria.
What is the prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
On our numbers Aretxabaleta have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aurrerá Vitoria 33%.
How many goals will there be in Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Aretxabaleta 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
