Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Vimenor vs Castro prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Vimenor v Castro in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 – Sunday 8 November, 17:00 WAT. Vimenor sit 5th with 20 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Castro are 12th on 8 (in the bottom half). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Vimenor – form over the last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Revilla 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game.
Castro – form over the last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Barquereño 0–1 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.
On form, Vimenor have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Vimenor 1.9 – 0.7 Castro in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Vimenor 68% · draw 19% · Castro 13%.
Safer play: Vimenor or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.82.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Vimenor to win, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Vimenor 1–0 Castro. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Vimenor68%fair 1.46 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.85
Castro13%fair 7.59 · @5.10
2.57Expected goals
1.91Vimenor xG
0.66Castro xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vimenor 1.9 – 0.7 Castro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vimenor to win✓
68%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Vimenor or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.82
Draw no bet
Vimenor (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Vimenor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Vimenor to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Vimenor ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vimenor / FT Vimenor✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Recent results
Vimenor – last 6
DWWLLD
30 Oct
@ Revilla
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Solares
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Selaya
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Laredo
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Bezana
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Torina
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Castro – last 6
LLWLLL
31 Oct
vs Barquereño
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Naval Reinosa
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Escobedo
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Atlético Albericia
2–4
L
4 Oct
vs Tropezón
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Mineros
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vimenor and Castro.
Our pick is Vimenor to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vimenor vs Castro?
On our numbers Vimenor have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Castro 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vimenor vs Castro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vimenor vs Castro?
Our predicted score is Vimenor 1–0 Castro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vimenor vs Castro?
Vimenor vs Castro (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
