Wed 11 Nov

Winterthur II v Locarno: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT

Locarno

LDDWD
Winterthur II 57%Draw 23%Locarno 20% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.98
80%
ZoraTips pick

Winterthur II or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.23Odds
1

Value bet: Winterthur II to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultWinterthur II to win ✓57% · @1.88
Double chanceWinterthur II or draw ✓80% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12

Winterthur II vs Locarno prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Winterthur II v Locarno in the 1. Liga Classic Group 3 – Sunday 8 November, 16:00 WAT. Winterthur II sit 13th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Locarno are 15th on 11 (in the bottom three). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Winterthur II – form over the last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Dietikon 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.7 per game.

Locarno – form over the last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Collina d'Oro 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game.

On form, Locarno have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Winterthur II 1.8 – 1.0 Locarno in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Winterthur II 57% · draw 23% · Locarno 20%.
  • Safer play: Winterthur II or draw (80%) at 1.23.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.54.
  • Value angle: Winterthur II to win at 1.88 – we make it 57%, the price implies 53%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Winterthur II or draw, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Winterthur II 1–0 Locarno. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Winterthur II57%fair 1.74 · @1.88
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.52
Locarno20%fair 5.02 · @3.26
2.81Expected goals
1.83Winterthur II xG
0.98Locarno xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Winterthur II 1.8 – 1.0 Locarno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWinterthur II to win ✓57%1.741.88 ▲
Double chanceWinterthur II or draw ✓80%1.251.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.54
Draw no betWinterthur II (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapLocarno +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.41
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.13
First team to scoreWinterthur II to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultWinterthur II ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Winterthur II / FT Winterthur II ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.12–

Recent results

Winterthur II – last 6

DLLLLW
31 Oct@ Dietikon2–2D
24 Octvs Tuggen1–3L
17 Oct@ Eschen Mauren0–4L
9 Oct@ Wettswil-Bonstetten0–3L
4 Octvs St. Gallen II1–2L
19 Sepvs Freienbach3–2W
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Locarno – last 6

LDDWDW
31 Octvs Collina d'Oro0–2L
24 Oct@ Mendrisio0–0D
18 Oct@ Concordia Lausanne1–1D
10 Octvs Kosova1–0W
3 Oct@ Thalwil2–2D
27 Sepvs Baden3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Winterthur II and Locarno.

Winterthur II vs Locarno head-to-head page →

1. Liga Classic Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Gallen II13913+628
2Taverne13832+1627
3Tuggen13733+824
4Baden13724+1223
5Kosova13562+621
6Collina d'Oro13634+121
7Thalwil13544019
8Wettswil-Bonstetten13535+218
9Freienbach13445-316
10Eschen / Mauren13436-315
11Dietikon13436-315
12Gossau13427-1114
13Winterthur II13418-913
14Mendrisio13265-212
15Locarno13256-411
16Widnau13238-169

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Winterthur II vs Locarno?

Our pick is Winterthur II or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Winterthur II vs Locarno?

On our numbers Winterthur II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Locarno 20%.

How many goals will there be in Winterthur II vs Locarno?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Winterthur II vs Locarno?

Our predicted score is Winterthur II 1–0 Locarno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Winterthur II vs Locarno?

Winterthur II vs Locarno (1. Liga Classic Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.