Value bet: SS Monopoli to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSS Monopoli to win42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.86
Sorrento vs SS Monopoli prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Sorrento host SS Monopoli in the Serie C Girone C on Monday 16 November, kicking off at 20:30 WAT at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. Sorrento sit 9th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while SS Monopoli are 6th on 20 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Sorrento – form over the last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Catania 0–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
SS Monopoli – form over the last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Cosenza 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, SS Monopoli have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Sorrento 1.0 – 1.2 SS Monopoli in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Sorrento 34% · draw 24% · SS Monopoli 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: SS Monopoli to win at 2.62 – we make it 42%, the price implies 38%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sorrento 1–1 SS Monopoli. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Sorrento34%fair 2.96 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
SS Monopoli42%fair 2.36 · @2.62
2.16Expected goals
0.99Sorrento xG
1.16SS Monopoli xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sorrento 1.0 – 1.2 SS Monopoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Monopoli to win
42%
2.36
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
SS Monopoli (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Sorrento +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
SS Monopoli to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Sorrento – last 6
LLLDDL
8 Nov
@ Catania
0–2
L
31 Oct
vs Team Altamura
1–2
L
27 Oct
@ Savoia
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Inter U23
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Casertana
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Scafatese
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SS Monopoli – last 6
DDWWLD
8 Nov
vs Cosenza
0–0
D
31 Oct
@ Barletta
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Audace Cerignola
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Inter U23
4–2
W
10 Oct
@ Casertana
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Savoia
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sorrento and SS Monopoli.
What is the prediction for Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
On our numbers Sorrento have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SS Monopoli 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
Our predicted score is Sorrento 1–1 SS Monopoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
Sorrento vs SS Monopoli (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
